1 / 12

Sustainable Transport: illusion or necessity? Bert van Wee

Sustainable Transport: illusion or necessity? Bert van Wee Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management. What is sustainability, what is sustainable transport? Sustainability: Conflict between generations Balance between economy, ecology and social aspects Position transport: Equal share

jesse
Download Presentation

Sustainable Transport: illusion or necessity? Bert van Wee

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Sustainable Transport: illusion or necessity? Bert van Wee Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management

  2. What is sustainability, what is sustainable transport? Sustainability: • Conflict between generations • Balance between economy, ecology and social aspects Position transport: • Equal share • Cost-effectiveness • Maximum welfare, inter-sectoral

  3. Transport emissions and health impacts Table 1: share of transport in emissions in the EU, 2000 • Source: Eurostat (http://europa.eu.int/newcronos/) • 1 kg of transport emission: more impacts than average • CO2: excluding international aviation and shipping

  4. Dominant relationships between determinants for environmental impact of transport and policy instruments

  5. Trends, assuming demographic and economic trends ‘as expected’: • Car use: increase • Use of lorries: big increase • Use of planes: huge increase • Unless: availability of fuels, climate change

  6. Technology: • Traditional pollutants: much available, penetrating in vehicle fleets • CO2: potential by far not used • Noise: potential by far not used • Congestion: pricing technology (EU), ADAS+

  7. Environment: • CO2: increase (despite Kyoto) • Other pollutants: decrease, but fast enough? • Noise: increase, despite technical possibilities • Social effects and effects on economy: accessibility, safety • Increase in congestion for at least 2 decades, unless pricing policy • Is congestion best accessibility indicator? Probably not! • Safety: decrease in fatalities, but acceptable?

  8. Possibilities for changes towards sustainability: Traditional pollutants: Problems will be solved, if necessary by technology only, if….. Noise: Technology dominant if effective policy is implemented. Needs change in EU process. CO2: probably most difficult: Transport is ‘expensive’, though debatable Impact on performance of cars and / or on behavior

  9. Accessibility: it this a sustainability issue? • No or hardly inter-generation aspects • What is ‘right’ balance? • Equity: people without cars • Paradigm shift needed? Indicators, modes, interpretation Safety: as accessibility • Additional safety measures cost-effective

  10. Policy implications • Long term vision, currently lacking (though in nota verkeersemissies and nepp4: transition) • Welfare economic approach: shift to environment and safety? • Dependency on fossil fuels • Other vision on accessibility

  11. Overall conclusion: sustainable transport is a necessity, but in some respects (at least CO2) an illusion for at least another decade. • Questions, discussion?

More Related