Montana Statewide Dropout and Graduate Report

1. Montana Statewide Dropout and Graduate Report Montana Assessment Conference February 12, 2017 Helena, MT

2. Data– Year Ten • 2008-09 Baseline year. • Tenth year of a fully functioning student information system, AIM (Achievement in Montana). • Enrollment records matched on a nine-digit State ID.

3. Data Verified • Each district was sent a list of its dropouts and graduates, via an online certification system. Authorized representativeverified final names andcounts. • Will be done in Infinite Campus/AIM for 2018.

4. Dropouts 2016/2017 School Year According to the AIM collection system: • Dropouts (grades 7-12) decreased from 1,470 to 1,451 in the last year. Dropouts (grades 9-12) decreased from 1,418 to 1,392 in the last year. • Public and State Funded Schools Only • Montana Youth Challenge

5. Dropout Rates • The high school dropout rate declined to 3.3% from 3.4% last year. • Decrease in number and unchanged rate for grades 7-12 after a one year increase in the number of dropouts in 16-17. • Previous to the 13-14 data, dropouts decreased for seven straight years. One year up, one year down, one year with unchanged rate, and one year down.

7. Peak Dropout Grade • In 2016-17, peak dropout rates were observed in the 12th grade. The dropout rate for 12th graders decreased over last year to 5.2% from 5.4%. • The 9th grade dropout rate had the biggest increase in the dropout rate going from 1.2% to 1.6%. • For the fourth year American Indian Students peak dropout rates were observed in the 12th grade.

10. Gender • Males drop out of school at a higher rate than females. • Males make up 52% of the total school enrollment in grades 7-12 and make up 59% of the dropouts. • Females 48% of enrollment and 41% of dropouts. Male (Grades 7-12) dropout rates increased over 2015-16 to 2.6% and female dropout rates decreased from 2.1% to 1.9%.

11. American Indians • American Indian students make up 11% of the total school enrollment in grades 7-12. • American Indian students make up 30% of the total dropouts in grades 7-12. It was 27% in 2015-16. • American Indian Dropout rate increased from 5.8% to 6.3%. • The dropout rate for White students decreased from 1.8% to 1.6%.

12. Dropout Rate by Programs • ESSA and its predecessor mandated reporting of dropout rates by several programs; Special Education, English Learner (EL), and Free and Reduced Lunch. • For high school students the English Learner rate is 3.3 times higher, Free and Reduced lunch is 1.8 times higher and Special Education is 1.8 times higher than the rate for all students.

13. Graduation Rates • 2017 Four‐year Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate • The graduating class of 2016‐2017 is the sixth cohort for which the MT Office of Public Instruction is able to calculate a four‐year adjusted cohort graduation rate. This rate is the percentage of students in a cohort, adjusted for transfers in and out of school, district, or state, that graduate with a regular high school diploma within four years of the student’s first enrollment in ninth grade. For the graduating class of 2017, the cohort began ninth grade in the fall of 2013. The Cohort Graduation Rate replaced the Graduation Rate for AYP calculations in 2012. • Completion Rate • Based on the number of graduates receiving a high school diploma regardless of number of years.

14. Cohort Graduation Rates • Formula  The number of students in the adjusted cohort earning a regular high school diploma by August 2017 The number of first time ninth grade students in the 2013-14 cohort, adjusted for transfers in and out

15. Cohort Graduation Rate • Year Six: a four year Cohort Graduation Rate of 85.8% • Last year (Year Five) Cohort Graduation Rate was 85.6%. • The statewide goal for the four year adjusted cohort graduation rate was 85% or show improvement towards this goal (when first adopted in 2010-11). • Increase in rate after the first decrease in the Graduation Rate since the Cohort Graduate Rate was started. • The second highest graduation rate since the implementation of AYP.

17. American Indian Cohort • The 4-Year Cohort Graduation Rate for American Indian students is 64.5%. Down from 65.6% in 2016. • The 4-year Cohort Graduation Rate for White Students is 88.3%, down from 88.7% 2016. • The American Indian Rate is the lowest since 2011-12 • The White Rate is the lowest since 2012-13. • Improvements came from other races and the More than one race category.

18. Graduates • There were 9,303 high school completers in 2016-17. • The Completion Rate is calculated using four years of dropout data. • 2016-17 is the tenth year using improved data from AIM. • The High School Completion Rate increased to 86.3%. • The Completion Rate for White students increased from 88.8% to 89.4%.

20. American Indian Graduates • The Completion Rate for American Indian students increased from 64.8% to 67.3%. • The American Indian Completion Rate is 22 percentage points below that of White students. • The percentage of American Indian completers, as a percentage of total completers, increased from 7.9% to 8.9%.

21. GEMS

22. GEMS • Data Warehouse • Student Characteristics • Graduation Dashboard • State Funded and Public • Dropout Dashboard

23. GEMS - Graduation

24. GEMS Graduation Missoula

25. GEMS Dropout

26. GEMS Dropout Missoula

27. Conclusions • Fewer students numerically and percentage wise are dropping out and more are completing high school than in the 2016-17 school year. • Best year dropout wise in AIM era. • Digging deeper more American Indian Students are dropping out, well above state averages. • American Indian Students are completing their high school education, but well below state averages.

28. Conclusions • Sixth year for 4-Year Cohort Graduation Rate. • Completion rates improved for White students. • Cohort rates declined for White students • A 24 percentage point gap between American Indian and White Students. • That gap is not showing any, measurable, signs of decreasing.

29. Questions?