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Satellite-based Land-Atmosphere Coupled Data Assimilation. Toshio Koike Earth Observation Data Integration & Fusion Research Initiative (EDITORIA) Department Civil Engineering, Engineering School The University of Tokyo. GCMs. Seasonal variation ( May - September). Sensible ( H ) -
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Satellite-based Land-Atmosphere Coupled Data Assimilation Toshio Koike Earth Observation Data Integration & Fusion Research Initiative (EDITORIA) Department Civil Engineering, Engineering School The University of Tokyo
GCMs Seasonal variation (May - September) Sensible(H) - Latent(LE) - NCEP OBS 1998 (2003 unavailable) JMA UKMO LE daily-mean ( June) Observed Modeled
Soil Moisture Snow Land Surface Scheme Snow Physics Model Microwave Radiometer Precipitation CloudPhysicsModel Aqua Surface Emissivity & Temp. Land-Atmosphere Data Assimilation TRMM
GCM Forcing Minimization Scheme Satellite Data Land Surface Scheme Radiative Transfer Model Cost Function LDAS
LDASUT- GCMs Seasonal variation (May - September) Sensible(H) - Latent(LE) - NCEP OBS 1998 (2003 unavailable) LDASUT JMA UKMO LE daily-mean ( June) Observed Modeled
GCM Physical Down-scaling Regional Model Forcing Minimization Scheme Satellite Data Land Surface Scheme Radiative Transfer Model Cost Function GCM
(Surface perspective) soil moisture Assimilation No Assimilation
(Atmospheric perspective) No Assimilation case Assimilation case GMS IR1-based convective Index Vertical Wind field Vertical Wind field
Radar at BJ With Land Assimilation Without Assimilation 9-15 16-22 23-04
Cloud Physics Scheme Radiative Transfer Model Cost Function GCM Physical Down-scaling Regional Model Minimization Scheme Satellite Data
IF Jmin IMDAS Framework Precipitation Prediction by ARPS ARPS Model Output (Initial Guess) Cloud Parameter Update Model Operator(Lin Ice Scheme) (Assim. Parameter:ICLWC, IWV) No Optimized Initial Condition Yes Observation Operator (RTM) (Tbmod) Tbobs Global Minimization Scheme (Shuffled Complex Evolution) Duan et al, 1992 Cost (J)= (Tbmod - Tbobs )2
Prediction Start of Prediction with Improved Initial Condition 16:30z17:0018:00 19:00 20:00 Assimilation Window: 40 mins 16:30z 30th Jan 2003 29th Jan 2003 ARPS Model Simulation 12z 16z 20z 24z 04z 08z 12z TBobs AMSR-E Initial Guess 16:30z17:10z Assimilation Window: 40 mins
Precipitation Rate(mm/hr) Initial condition with no assimilation Initial condition with assimilation IMDAS dbz=200R**1.60 (Aonashi, 2004) 29th Jan, 17:00z
Precipitation Rate(mm/hr) 3hour prediction with no assimilation 3hour prediction with assimilation IMDAS dbz=200R**1.60 (Aonashi, 2004) 29th Jan, 20:00z
GCM Regional Model Cloud Physics Scheme Radiative Transfer Model Cost Function Minimization Scheme Satellite Data Land Surface Scheme Radiative Transfer Model Cost Function
Coupled Soil Atmosphere RTM By coupling AIEM with atmosphere RTM we get better agreement. For wetter cases AIEM is sufficient.
Tb Error LDAS only MODIS/IR A-L Coupled DAS Atmospheric effect derived from AMSR-E vs. MODIS Cloud Top Temperature
Integrated Cloud Liquid Water LDAS only MODIS/IR A-L Coupled DAS Atmospheric effect derived from AMSR-E vs. MODIS Cloud Top Temperature
24 hour Prediction of Rainfall over the Tibetan Plateau Prediction with the A-L Coupled Data Assimilation As an Initial Condition Only Nesting GOES IR
Preliminary Design for Multi-scaleLand Impact Research by of L-A Coupled DAS • Regional-scale approach by L-A DAS without CMDAS • Extent: 40ºE - 160ºE and 0ºN - 60ºN • Grid size: 25 km → nx = 355, ny = 223, nz = 35 • Meso-scale “mobile” approach by L-A DAS with CMDAS • Point-scale by the CEOP Reference Sites Network +