Department of Defense Budget Update to the Virginia Ship Repair Association

1. Department of DefenseBudget Update to theVirginia Ship Repair Association RDML (ret) Joe Carnevale Senior Defense Advisor 20 September 2011

2. DoD Budget Update • Budget Control Act of 2011 • The Peace Dividend • Fiscal Year 2012 Budget

3. Budget Control Act of 2011What Does It Do? Increases the debt limit by $400B immediately. Cuts $917B over 10 years with $21B in FY12. President can request additional increase of $500B this year. Congress may disapprove. President may veto Congressional disapproval. Congress may override veto with two-thirds majority. President may request an additional $1.2-1.5T next year. If matched by budget cuts generated by the “super committee” and enacted by Congress, Or a Balanced Budget Amendment is passed by Congress and sent to the states. Subject to the disapproval/veto/override provisions above. Cuts generated by the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction. Goal of $1.5T over 10 years. Propose by 23 Nov 11 and enact by 23 Dec 11. Up or down vote, no amendments, no filibuster. Balanced Budget Amendment Congress must vote on it before 31 Dec 11. Not required to pass to support debt limit increase. Sequestration if cuts are less the $1.2T Equal, across the board cuts to Security and Non-Security programs to get to $1.2T. Cuts apply to Medicare but not Social Security.

4. Budget Control Act of 2011 • Security includes: DoD, DHS, VA, National Nuclear Security Administration, and Budget Function 150 International Affairs • Security Spending Caps • FY12 $684B • FY13 $686B • FY12 equals FY11 - $5B or a 0.7% cut from FY11 levels. • DoD budget for FY12 would be $525B if proportional cut. • President’s Budget (PB) has DoD = $553B vs that $525B • President’s Budget (PB) has DoD = $539B without MILCON Status: Proposed vs PB vs $525B Cap • HASC $539B $0B +$28B • SASC $533B -$6B +$22B • HAC $530B -$9B +$19B • SAC $513B -$26B +$0B Note: Give or take a billion or two.

5. The Peace Dividend

6. The Peace Dividend Occurred in the early 90’s. Last major cut in Defense spending. Result of the collapse of the Soviet Union. What was cut? What can we learn from it?

7. The Peace DividendDoD Budget Authority 1980-2010(Billions of Dollars) 1989: Soviet troops withdraw from Afghanistan, Poland & Hungary become independent, Berlin Wall falls, Governments fall in Czechoslovakia, Bulgaria, and Rumania; Soviet empire ends 1991: Warsaw Pact ends, The Soviet Union dissolves, The Cold War Ends 1990: Germany reunited

8. Total Federal and Department of Defense Budget Authority 1980-2010

9. Total Federal Budget Authority and Receipts 1980-2010

10. Total Federal Budget Authority and Receipts 1980-2010Bush Tax Cuts Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003 Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2001

11. DoD Budget Authority 1988-1996 DoD cut by $42B

12. Military Personnel 1988-1996 (in thousands) 458,000 people leave the service from 1990 to 1994

13. Navy Active Ship 1988-1996 166 fewer ships in the Navy from 1990 to 1994

14. O&MN and SCN 1988-1996 O&MN cut by $4.0B SCN cut by $7.4B

15. Dramatic Change in SCN

16. FY 2012 Shipbuilding Plan

17. Budget Climb from 1998 to 2008

18. Fiscal Year 2012 Budget

19. FY 2012 Ship Procurement

20. FY 2012 Ship Procurement(Continued)

21. FY 2012 Maintenance & Modernization

22. Conclusions • Significant actions taken in the early 90s to cut budgets can’t be repeated. • The dramatic increase in Defense Budget over a decade was not proportionate. • A proportionate allocation of future cuts will be disastrous to the Navy and the Nation.