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The NASA/SMG Simulation Culture: Lessons for Improving Your Weather Decision Partnership

Explore the future of the NWS and the importance of decision support in operational meteorology. Learn how collaboration, inspection, and high standards can improve partnerships and preparedness. Discover the benefits of simulation in training and improving operational processes. Find out how to prepare for your next mission.

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The NASA/SMG Simulation Culture: Lessons for Improving Your Weather Decision Partnership

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  1. The NASA/SMG Simulation Culture: Lessons for Improving Your Weather Decision Partnership Kurt M. Van Speybroeck, SMG Jon W. Zeitler, WFO Austin/San Antonio Amarillo Decision Support Symposium October 27, 2010

  2. What is the future of the NWS? “Decision Support in operational meteorology is the future of the NWS.” Jack Hayes, NWS-All Hands Meeting, 90th AMS Conference, Jan 2010. “Government closest to the people serves best.” NWS SR Director Bill Proenza “Weather will always have a seat at the table.” Joe Leonard, LCDR USCG, ICS Commander for Katrina The future is here!

  3. Requirements • Collaboration • Inspection • Our closest weather partners • EM preparedness • Community We require high standards!

  4. How are you preparing today? Is your WFO ready?

  5. Is this your WFO plan?

  6. Or does your WFO plan look like this?

  7. How do you know?

  8. How would your partners know?

  9. Customer Driven NASA Ops Cycle Mission Feedback Train/SIM Mission Prep

  10. Decision Support & SMG • An incident is not the place for introductions • Decisions are based on information and trust • Joint/collaborative training • Common experiences/events solidify trust Launch isOptional;Landing isMandatory!

  11. Decision Support Model Two-way Outreach NWS visit Partner Partner visit NWS Team Requirements Weather Impacts Decision Authority Decision Points Parameters Time Frames Thresholds Team Debrief/ Feedback Live Ops The Real Thing Good Training= Smoother Ops True Collaboration Joint Ops/Training Formats/templates Schedules Communication Tools Build a little, test a little What worked? What to improve? Lessons learned Action Items Integrated Training Exercises Simulations Shadowing during live operations

  12. Our Team Select for Attitude, Train for Excellence L to R: Clay Anderson, Kurt Van Speybroeck, Chris Morris, Bob Fogarty, Jon Zeitler

  13. High fidelity simulation with partners Simulation Set-up Step 1 – Provide Justification/Theory “Show/Do” simulations − mirror operations. Higher fidelity/operational pressure “Tell/Show”− Explain simulation theory and practice. Focus simulations to specific operation and process. Monthly backup drills are a good starting point.

  14. Simulation Goal #1 Prototype the NASA/SMG Simulation Methodology Simulation Plan: Determine objectives, internal or external participation. Identify participants Pre-Sim mentor meeting Establish mentoring level and personal objectives Conduct simulation Team Debrief Team performance Post-sim meeting / Individual debrief Review performance and establish next training steps

  15. Simulation Goal #2 Test the WFO EWX Tropical Cyclone Operations Plan

  16. Simulation Goal #3 Test/Develop Forecaster Briefing Skills

  17. Simulation Setup Step 2 – Begin the Simulation

  18. Simulation Set-up Step 3 – Conduct Simulation

  19. Post-Sim Debrief The ideal four steps • Replay: What happened? • What went well? • Reconstruct: What could we • have done better? • Reflect: Lessons learned. • Redirect: What will we do in • future to improve? Result: Identify action items or training

  20. Simulation Debrief and Findings • What worked well • Excellent participant attitude, flexibility, and teamwork • Well- designed GTM briefing graphics • Participants rotated through roles/duties • Simulated briefings provided valuable experience • Simulation one month before TC plan had to be used • for TC Hermine!

  21. A Culture of Simulation Spreading the Word • Operational capability is a key for high fidelity.   • Demonstrate sims to staff (and WFOs) before • change, this implies a 1-2 year spin up. • Consider developing a toolbox of simulation • templates. • Involve partners once internal culture/practices • are established

  22. Culture of Simulation Step 4 – Next Steps • Repeat TC Simulation in Dec ’10, add a new • forecaster, transition 1-2 to Sim. Supervisors • Prototype simulations at another WFO • (CRP, JAN) • Develop June 9, 2010, New Braunfels Flood • simulation, add partner participants • Utilize service backup drills to introduce • WFOs to simulations

  23. Are you preparing for your next mission? Kurt M. Van Speybroeck, SMG Jon W. Zeitler, WFO Austin/San Antonio Amarillo Decision Support Symposium October 27, 2010

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