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How do we know?

Learn how to build your own climate model to predict global temperature in 2050. Understand scientific models, CO2 impact, data sources, and more.

jlynch
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How do we know?

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  1. How do we know?

  2. Predict Earth’s Future:Building your own climate model

  3. What is a model? A simplified representation of something in the real world that we used to better understand the real world.

  4. Scientific Models CO2 & photosynthesis ? ? Plant growth ? CO2 Concentration

  5. Scientific Models Use equations to describe relationships from the real world and make predictions

  6. Your goal: Develop a climate model to predict what the global temperature will be in 2050. • Decide which data to include. • Build your model and make a prediction. • Test how different policies will change your prediction. • Data • Global Temperature • Catastrophic Volcanic Eruptions • Sunspot Number • Aerosol Optical Depth • CO2 Concentration • Cattle in USA http://tinyurl.com/BuildClimateModel-1

  7. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate ChangeAssessment Report #5Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (moderate mitigation) ~10.6 °C 9.22 °C

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