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Sustainable Heating and Cooling in Sweden

Learn about the expected energy developments, market changes, and future trends in sustainable heating and cooling in Sweden. Explore topics such as biomass, district heating, heat pumps, and the growth of the cooling market.

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Sustainable Heating and Cooling in Sweden

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  1. SustainableHeating and Cooling in Sweden Dr. Monica Axell Business Development Manager, RISE Division Built Environment monica.axell@ri.se

  2. Expectedenergydevelopments • Heatingdemandwillremainsignificant • Coolingdemandwillgrowrapidly • Flexibilitymore and moreimportant • Sectorcoupling – Buildings-Transport-Industry

  3. Sustainability

  4. Sweden Oil and Gas Energy Biomass Boiler DistrictHeating and Cooling Electricity Heat Pumps

  5. Suppliedenergy to districtheating 1980-2017 Other Peat Fossil Renewable Recovered

  6. Heat demand RISE — Mallpresentation

  7. Utilisation Waste Upgrading/(vehiclefuel) Heating Flaring Power production Industrial use Otheruse Missing data/losses

  8. Market for cooling is growing in Sweden

  9. The heating market willchange The era of oil and gas The bi-polar world The heating future • Heat pumps are the most effective individual technology, but require competitive pricing of electricity vs. gas to win • Oil becomes obsolete Heatpump Oil • Due to slow change rate, available infrastructure, and price gas willstay in the market for a long time ??? …will this come? Green Gas Gas District Heat • Heating grids are (where available/ new build in dense areas) the best option (scale effect …) CombinedH/P Biomass • Biomass, waste and independent Micro-Grids will play a niche role for local solutions • Coal and direct electricity heating will fade out Future Today Source: Pöyry, prognos AG, team analysis

  10. Heating grids development Systemtemperature 1st gen (>200°C) Low energy demands Smart grid (optimum interaction of energy sources, distribution and cons.)2-way DH Steam Pre-insulated pipes Industrialized compactsubstations (insulated) Metering and monitoring Bidirectonal Can deliver cooling and heating Active components in buildings Flexible temperatures 2:a gen smart grid Recycles all thermal flows Pressurized hot water systems Heavy equipment Large stations 200 °C 150 °C 100 °C 50 °C 0 °C 2nd gen (>100°C) 3rd gen (80-100°C) 4th gen (<60(70)°C) Warm hybrid 5GDH™ Flexible system temperatures (°C) Cold hybrid 1880 1930s 1970s 2010s

  11. Decarbonisationof the heatingsector • 14 EC countries (90 % av Europesheating market) • Simulation of scenarios - 2050 • Conclusions: • CO2 reductionwith 86% - baseline 1990 (heating and cooling market) • Wellknowntechnology: • Districtheating in urban areas • Heat pumps (individual or in districtheatinggrid )

  12. Europé DHC 2050 - HRE4 • DistrictHeating - 50 % of heat demand 2050 • 12% today • Large heat pumps - 25% of heat demand • 95 GWth • Heat pumps offer flexibility • 95 GWth=> 30 000 heat pumps in Europes DHC - grid 2050 (assumption 3 MW in average) Källa: Heat Roadmap Europe

  13. DHC from HP in Sweden (TWh/år) Sweden 2050 (HRE4) HP in Sweden DHC-system 2050 • 1,2 GW installed HP-capacity => 4 GW • 1000 st new HP - 3MW • 4,5 TWh/år =>12 TWh/år • Less hours - full load • HP is used to offer flexibility Installed heat capacity, Europe

  14. Kvarteret Seglet, Karlstad • Build 2007, 44 apartments - Energy efficient • DHC –return - Floorheating and DHW • Production DHW: • Pre heating : Heat exchanger – DHC return • Booster HP: • Heat source : DHC return • Heat demand: 88% DHC-return, 12% el • Experience: • Economy: In Karlstad: YES butdepends on the costof DHC

  15. CELSIUS – EU Project We are a trustworthy and independent organisation that has been working with innovative heating and cooling solutions. Proud recipient of… They trust us! >70 cities engaged in smart heating and cooling >70 city supporters: research institutions, industry representatives, projects, cluster organisations & associations

  16. Today Celsius… …is a demand driven collaboration hub for efficient, integrated heating and cooling solutions supporting cities in their energy transition to carbon-neutral systems. … gathers and shares technical, economic, social and policy expertise. … connects members, exchange and foster innovation, leading to solutions that accelerate sustainable development in Europe and across the world.

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