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Understanding Climate Change Impacts & Adaptation Tools in Northwest Communities

Explore the long-term statistics of weather and the necessity of climate adaptation in Northwest communities. Learn about future climate projections and tools available for adaptation planning. Discover best practices, resources, and educational materials to prepare for climate change impacts.

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Understanding Climate Change Impacts & Adaptation Tools in Northwest Communities

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  1. What’s Climate Got To Do With It? 29 November 2018Getting Climate Ready – Adaptation Tools for Northwest Communities Terrace, BC Trevor Murdock

  2. Taking future climate into account is necessary possible

  3. Climate: long term statistics of weather Weather: conditions at a specific location & time • December 2nd 2005 • 6°C snowing in ______ • 19°C sunny in ______

  4. Victoria Montreal

  5. Climate: Long Term Statistics of Weather • Weather: conditions at a specific location and time • December 2nd 2005 • 6°C snowing in Victoria • 19°C sunny in Montreal • Climate: long term statistics of weather • 1971-2000 average December

  6. Climate varies by location & with time Temperature Anomaly °C

  7. Climate Varies by Location and with Time Temperature Anomaly °C

  8. Climate Varies by Location and with Time Temperature Anomaly °C

  9. “Prediction is hard, especially about the future” • Yogi Berra • Albert Einstein • Mark Twain • Yogi Berra • Albert Einstein • Mark Twain • Winston Churchill • George Bernard Shaw • Niels Bohr • Will Rogers • Enrico Fermi • Dan Quayle • Woody Allen • Confucius

  10. Future Warming in BC Past Minor reductions (RCP8.5) Paris commitments (RCP4.5) Paris goal (RCP2.6)

  11. Increased hot days

  12. Increased hot days Days above 25°C

  13. More frequent and more intense wet days Bella Coola Sept 2010

  14. More frequent and more intense wet days Wettest day of the year

  15. Fewer frost days Central Interior 2013 https://news.ubc.ca/2013/03/26/mountain-pine-beetle-genome-decoded/

  16. Fewer days below freezing Days colder than 0°C

  17. Best practices for considering future climate • Make use of available climate information • Consider a range of future projections • Practice cross-disciplinary engagement • Iteration, iteration, iteration

  18. Email tmurdock@uvic.caMore information www.PacificClimate.orgClimate Insights 101http://pics.uvic.ca/education/climate-insights-101#quicktabs-climate_insights_101=1BC Regional Adaptation Collaborativehttps://www.fraserbasin.bc.ca/ccaq_bcrac.html Thank You Questions or feedback?

  19. Online adaptation tools webinarhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jxj-3gPkDW4

  20. PCIC* climate tools for BC • Plan2Adapt • Regional Analysis Tool • ClimateBC / ClimateWNA / HectaresBC / BC Climate Explorer • PCIC data portals • BC station data • High-resolution PRISM climatology • Statistically downscaled climate scenarios • VIC hydrological model output (gridded) • Station hydrological model output • Seasonal maps

  21. PCIC* climate tools for BC

  22. More resources • Educational/background • CBC podcast mini series • Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions (PICS): Climate Insights 101 • What if climate change is real? – Katherine Hayhoe Ted Talk • Adaptation guidance • PICS adaptation in buildings infographic • Infrastructure Canada Climate Lens • BC Ministry of Transportation and Infrastructure Technical Circular • EGBC guidance document • Climate / engineering language primer • National guidebook on climate scenarios

  23. And even more resources • Climate Projections Reports released by regional districts • Climate Projections for the Cowichan Valley Regional District • Climate Projections for the Capital Region • Climate Projections for Metro Vancouver • Climate Projections for Whistler • City of Vancouver Climate Impacts Summary • Webinar: Three important factors for adaptation: location, location, locationhttps://goo.gl/cVWJZ1

  24. 2015 / 2016 /2017 weather events, seasons 2015 https://www.pacificclimate.org/sites/default/files/publications/2015_Year_in_Review-Final.pdf 2016 https://www.pacificclimate.org/news-and-events/news/2016/bc-track-set-new-temperature-record-2016and https://www.pacificclimate.org/news-and-events/news/2017/climate-variability-hot-cold-winter-%E2%80%9916-%E2%80%9817 2017 https://www.pacificclimate.org/sites/default/files/publications/PCIC_Update_Mar_2018.pdf

  25. Energy Use Unmet Cooling Hours Source: UBC (Campus and Community Planning) with RDH Building Science

  26. Northwest: warming across all seasons

  27. Northwest: wetter especially in spring & autumn

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