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RADARSAT Risk

RADARSAT Risk. RADARSAT-1 design life - Nov 2000 RADARSAT-2 Program - 12-18 months behind schedule - 36 months behind requirement Planned launch: April, 2003 Availability of Data: July(?) 2003. RADARSAT-2. RADARSAT-1 required to operate 50% beyond design life

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RADARSAT Risk

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  1. RADARSAT Risk • RADARSAT-1 design life - Nov 2000 • RADARSAT-2 Program - 12-18 months behind schedule - 36 months behind requirement • Planned launch: April, 2003 • Availability of Data: July(?) 2003 RADARSAT-2 • RADARSAT-1 required to operate 50% beyond design life • risk of a ‘data gap’ • high impact on CIS and CCG mandates • A Contingency Plan based on aircraft has been developed

  2. Impacts are Significant • Several gov’t departments affected: DFO, TC, INAC, IC, EC • Will prevent EC from meeting its minimum mandate for ice monitoring • Will significantly impede the CCG in ensuring marine safety in ice • Will have shipping policy implications for Transport Canada (AIRSS)IMPACTS ON: • health and safety in marine transportation • viability and efficiency of wintertime economies in Gulf of St. Lawrence, Maritimes, and Great Lakes • diversion of ships to ice-free U.S. ports • resupply of Northern communities and Arctic pollution prevention • marine environmental protection in all ice affected waters

  3. Risk of RADARSAT Data Gap • 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 RADARSAT 1 nominal power life AVAILABILITY 40% chance of failure RISK PERIOD RADARSAT 2 AVAILABILITY original launch date start of full projected launch operations date (04/2003) Risk of data gap is recognized and significant

  4. Solution Elements of a Contingency Plan • Move existing aircraft from tactical to contingency role • replacement of obsolete radar equipment on ice reconnaissance Dash-7 • High-altitude radar equipment on leased or other Gov’t aircraft • radar equipment previously used in ice reconnaissance Challenger aircraft have been acquired in Intera settlement • minimize costs through ‘stand-by’ state of readiness • costs for aircraft operations incurred only if required • Upgrade other government equipment for contingency role • other satellite processing upgrades (e.g., European ENVISAT) • Plan permits a ‘stop-gap’ reduced level of ice service

  5. Status • Partial funding for ‘Preparatory Costs’ approved ($6.5M) • 1) low altitude radar replacement • RFP bid period now open - operational in June 2002 • 2) high altitude radar • used equipment procured in FY99/01 (Intera STAR-2) • now seeking aircraft for deployment • GGC Dash-8, EC CV-580, DND Challenger, Cessna Conquest (backup commercial option) • cost-benefit studies now underway for operation mid-2001 • 3) other • preparation for ENVISAT (ingest, telecom upgrades)

  6. Aircraft Options - Initial Analysis DASH 8 CV 580 Challenger Cessna Aircraft Operator DFO-CCG EC-EPS DND Private Installation Costs High Low Moderate Moderate Operation Costs Low High High Low Operation Capacity Mission Compatible Uncertain Arctic Proven Uncertain Gulf, East Low/ New High/ Old Low/ New Low/ New Risk/ Age Other Good links to CCG possible DND value in radar low mgt. effort, industry benefit Support to other EC program

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