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Space Weather on the World Wide Web. Janet Kozyra, *Daniel Atkins, and **Joseph Hardin * Director of the Alliance for Community Technology. PI of the UARC and SPARC projects, the NSF EXPRES project for collaborative multimedia authoring as well as U of M’s Digital Library Project
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Space Weather on the World Wide Web Janet Kozyra, *Daniel Atkins, and **Joseph Hardin * Director of the Alliance for Community Technology. PI of the UARC and SPARC projects, the NSF EXPRES project for collaborative multimedia authoring as well as U of M’s Digital Library Project ** Director of Systems Development and Operations at U of Michigan’s School of Information, member of the UARC and SPARC development teams. Prior to 1997, headed up a group at NCSA that developed Mosaic, NCSA Telenet, Image and PolyView
Space Weather Research & the Internet • The Richness & Diversity of our Internet resources • Internet Tour • Forecast • Real-Time Data • Data Archives • Project Pages • Information, EPO • Navigation • Commercial search engines put to the test • Usability • Present & Future • New interfaces to enhance usability • Campaigns & Workshops - New hybrids using web and face-to-face elements • Journals - Beginnings of online publication. The Internet vs. printed media. Multi-media still in the future • Summary - The Internet as a key element in the future of space weather research
Space Weather Research & the Web • Key initiatives for the success of the National Space Weather Program [NRC report, The Atmospheric Sciences, Entering the 21st Century, 1998], include: • Development and implementation of new tools that enhance communications between research scientists engaged in, & those effected by, space weather • Development of a framework that enables the continuous testing, evaluation and verification of global space weather models • Development of a new suite of electronic tools that support space weather modeling and prediction , as well as education and public outreach. • The Internet can play a fundamental role • A quick tour through a small sample of Space Weather sites on the Internet demonstrates their variety & quality
Space Weather Directories -SPDS 111 41 364 7 11 Total Sites Tracked 493 *SPDS established in 1993 to preserve, exchange & access scientific data 176 122 66 Total: 364 Total: 41 Total: 111
Real-Time 50 Forecast 3 Educational 27 CDAW sites 8 Models 11 SPA Observatories radars 11 riometers 1 lidars 5 Ionosondes 6 magnetometer 16 cosmic ray & 1 neutron monitor solar data 19 optical 8 rocket facilities 2 satellites 66 tomography 1 GPS 3 Research Ctrs 51 Literature Index 3 Prof. Organizations 11 Amateur Organi- 1 zations Other Link Lists 10 Directories - Rice University Total: 352
Directories - UCLA IGPP • Organizations 23 • Agencies 25 • Data Centers/Databases 37 • Projects 85 • Research Groups 150 • Public Outreach/Education 25 • Journals/Books/Newsletters/Bulletins 35 • Budget/Congress/Public Affairs 2 • Related Home Pages 7 Total: 389
Directories - AGU Space Physics & Aeronomy 23 21 37 34 153 Total: 268
SwRI Total: 764 156 124 85 83 13 86 83 90 44
Directories - SPEE Total: 319 General Info 59 Radio Propagation 13 Link Collections 8 Data 62 Ground Effects 10 Software 13 Institutions 19 Forecasts 19 Models 30 Spacecraft Effects 44
Spacecraft Project Site Web Tour
Usable Interface for Web Data Access Web Tour
High Usability Data Site Web Tour
Gateway to Ionosonde Information Web Tour
Gateway to Digisonde Data Web Tour
Gateway to Magnetometer Data Web Tour
Real-Time GPS Data Products Web Tour
Lastest Solar Images Web Tour
Auroral Activity Updates Web Tour
Real-Time Solar Wind Info Web Tour
Monitor of Auroral Power Web Tour
Real-Time Data Ingestion Web Tour
Commercial Space News/Outreach Web Tour
Commercial Space News/Outreach Web Tour
NAS/ Electronic Publications Web Tour
NASA News/Outreach Web Tour
Expert Internet Guides Web Tour
Education / Public Outreach Web Tour
Education / Public Outreach Web Tour
Education / Public Outreach Web Tour
Conclusion • Space weather research is supported by a rich collection of Internet-based resources • Impressive & growing capability for real-time data display and rapid data retrieval over the internet • Internet-based data retrieval of archived data • Some of these capabilities already being integrated into outreach & education sites • Presently > 800 sites • ~ 10 space weather directories with many but not all overlapping links
Challenge & Opportunity To develop interfaces that support scientists, engineers & fore-casters in space weather research, prediction & outreach, which: • track and integrate growing web science resources • provide analysis tools & data management services • complement scientific processing needs • support collaborative software for science analysis, workshops and authoring results • minimize the human costs of change and maximize the support of science creativity by investing heavily in human-centered design efforts up front. • Take advantage of predicted enhancements in web capabilities (though only 20% of predictions of technological advances by experts have been accurate [Schnaars, 1989]). Nevertheless can’t have a plan without predictions.
“Oooh, look! It says in the manual they have online help!” Navigation - How to find what you need? Projected Internet Growth [Jacob Nielsen, Designing Web Usability, 2000] • Sites: 10 million in 1999 --> 200 million by 2005 • Pages: 1 billion in 1999 --> 50 billion by 2005 (Doesn’t include dark matter or dynamic pages. Only 16% of pages accessible to search engines) • Users (sharing the same computer system!!): 200 million in 2000 --> 500 million by 2005 --> 1 billion by 2010
Test of Commercial Search Engines Space Weather (Only 11 found by > 1 engine) *Google 12,300 Alta Vista 18 LookSmart 10 Excite 48 WebCrawler 24 Yahoo 18 LookSmart 10 Total 106 Space Physics (Only 22 found by > 1 engine) *Google 18,800 Alta Vista 20 LookSmart 9 Excite 46 WebCrawler 25 Yahoo 20 InfoSeek 47 Total 143 Magnetosphere (Only 17 found by > 1 engine) *Google 17,000 Alta Vista 19 Excite 41 InfoSeek 43 WebCrawler 25 Yahoo 19 AllTheWeb 23 Total 154 * Google not included in totals.
Test of Commercial Search Engines Ionosphere (Only 17 found by > 1 engine) *Google 21,600 Alta Vista 18 Excite 42 InfoSeek 46 WebCrawler 24 Yahoo 18 AllThe Web 22 Total 154 Aeronomy (Only 13 found by > 1 engine) *Google 6,720 Alta Vista 20 LookSmart 1 Excite 31 WebCrawler 24 Yahoo 19 AllTheWeb 23 Total 97 * Google not included in totals.
How new technology boosts productivity. Usability - How To Efficiently Anticipate &Adapt to Increasing Capabilities? Will faster speeds mean you just get lost faster in cyberspace? • 50% faster Internet bandwidth every year • In 5 years: high-end users will have sub-second response times in downloading pages • In 10 years: all users will have good bandwidth. • It will be possible to stream good quality video across the Internet. • The Web will be 57 times [Jacob Nielsen, 2000] to orders of magnitude faster [SPARC team,2000] -- (Bell Labs has already demonstrated the capability to shoot a terabit/sec down an optical fiber )
A Developing Space Weather Interface • GEDAS Concept: • Integration of data sets • Connect ground-based & space-based observations • Provide local and global view through models • Provide link between models & data • Real-time data streams for researchers • Link classrooms to real-time data & vivid materials
Aerocibo Observatory EISCAT (Svalbard Obs) EISCAT (Tromso Obs) Jicamarca Radio Obs Millstone Hill Obs MIT/Haystack NASA/ACE POLAR/UVI (G. Parks) POLAR/VIS (L. Frank) NASA/ESA SOHO SuperDARN Sondrestrom Aurora Obs (Univ of Tromso) Communications Res Lab, Japan Royal Meteor. Inst of Belgium Herman Ohlathaver Inst for Aeronomy Solar Radio Monitoring Program, Canada Southwest Research Institute IPS Radio & Space Services Lockheed Martin Solar & Astrophys Lab NOAO & NSO Canadian Space Agency INTERMAGNET (Japan) ISTP Program Rice University SPRL NASA Solar Synoptic Analysis (Poland) Ionospheric USA TEC Map (Pi) Global TEC Map (Pi) Global GPS Phase Fluctuation (Pi) SOHO EIT (Gurman) Yohkoh Soft Xrays (Gurman) Photospheric Magnetogram (Gurman) Solar Terrestrial Dispatch SPARC Partner Institutions
AGU SPA Showcase of Real-Time Web Informa- tion - > under develop- ment
SPARC Interactive Page Development Radio buttons to customize a table layout for display of data streams
SPARC Interactive Page Development • Screen to choose data set and time interval for each table cell.
Virtual Science Analysis Workshops • Scientific Interactions & the Creative Process • So much of what we define as the creative science process is grounded in people interacting with people. • Any electronic interaction must not supress or unduly mechanize human interactions • Human dynamics unfold differently online, affecting • the bias-level in discusssions • the influence of minority opinion holders • and the development of trust essential to scientific collaborations • It would alter the scientific process in ways we do not fully understand to carry out collaborations solely by electronic medium at this point
Virtual Science Analysis Workshops • Clearly there are many advantages to electronic workshop interactions in science analysis • Savings in time and resources (over ever increasing number of face-to-face meetings) • Thoughtfully-designed computer interfaces that provide seamless access to disparate data sets, common analysis tools, and collaborative software tools may drive a true paradigm shift in science analysis, resulting in: • more frequent and comprehensive integration of data sets in addressing global science issues • more seamless support of data/theory & data/model closure • higher productivity and enhanced creative energy focused on the global & multidisciplinary issues • The optimum strategy is to maintain a balance between virtual & face-to-face interactions
Sun-to-Earth Campaigns • Site serves as clearing-house for campaign information & links • Interna-tional,multi-disciplinary participation • Campaign interactions would benefit from a more powerful interface