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FUTURES TRADING week two: recap and lessons. Evaluation group members Harmony Bee Lina Ruiji. MFRE Portfolio Performance. A DELIGHTFUL TREND. Sep.23 Monday morning. Sep.27 Friday Night. MFRE Portfolio Performance. The most inspirational person Top 3. Ruiji. Behzad. Amanda.
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FUTURES TRADINGweek two: recap and lessons Evaluation group members Harmony Bee Lina Ruiji
MFRE Portfolio Performance A DELIGHTFUL TREND Sep.23 Monday morning Sep.27 Friday Night
MFRE Portfolio Performance The most inspirational person Top 3 Ruiji Behzad Amanda $ 93,624.24 $123,110.24 - 6.38% 23.11% 20 1 $ 96,836.80 $116,407.81 - 3.16% 16.41% 17 2 PORTFOLIO VALUE %RETURN RANK $ 90,746.80 $113,777.93 - 9.25% 13.78% 24 3
MFRE Portfolio Performance Things always change a lot~~ Alex Rank 8 → 27 $99,574.30(-0.43%) $81,958.02(-18.04%) Mia Rank 27 → 5 $ 86,634.24(-13.37%) $104,909,93(4.91%)
MFRE Portfolio Performance The most fluctuating person TOP 1 Gianmarco $128,321.17 28.32% Rank 1 $ 94,467.51 -5.53% Rank 22 $ 93,286.66 -6.71% Rank 21 The Busiestperson TOP 1 19 transactions $ 109,653.15 9.65% Linda
MFRE Portfolio Performance MORE CHOICES MORE HAPPINESS
Market Recap What Happened? Not a lot! It was a pretty quiet week! Until Monday’s USDA Report. Then things started to move quickly! (we’ll get to that in a minute)
Soybeans What Was Going On Last Week? SOYBEAN week ending at 0.25% gain • Surging US export sales – steady demand from China
Corn What Was Going On Last Week? CORN week ending, advanced 0.65% • First weekly gain in a month • Prediction: downward trend as there is an improve in US midwest condition
Wheat What Was Going On Last Week? WHEAT week ending, gain 5.4% • Price climbing to two months high (robust demand): • Argentina winter crop -- Argentina is one of the largest wheat exporter • Flood in China – import more • Wheat shortage in Russia – ban export
USDA Grain Report USDA GRAIN REPORT : 11AM Monday September 30th DID YOU GO SHORT?
USDA Grain Report CORNFutures plunged to a 3 year low closing at 441.5 USDA boosted its inventory estimates by 25%. There is talk of corn hitting a low of almost 400?! “The market is going to be dealing with big corn supplies for the next year, and that’s going to limit rallies” Dale Durcholz (taken from bloomberg.com)
USDA Grain Report WHEATFutures for December delivery fell 0.7% to 678.5 countering a price rise in the previous five sessions (the longest rally since mid-March). The report was in linen with expectations and upped its stock and production estimates and also revised world demand upwards. SOYBEANSLost 2.75% (the largest drop in six months) and closed at 1,282.75 as supplies topped analyst estimates by 11% (original estimates of 661 bushels revised to 694 bushels). Inventories are at 141 bushels and demand predictions have tumbled 41% from August estimates.
Strategies for the week ahead 1. Stay V.S Trade? 2. Notice harvest season & weather report 3. Think globally,act locally 4. don’t panic when prices shrink, believe your research 5. get up early!
Resources and Information • agfax.com • Daily news updates on Southern cotton, rice, peanuts, corn, wheat and soybeans and information on insect, weed and disease control in row crops. • futuresmag.com • News, analysis, and strategies for futures, options, and derivative traders. Includes charts, daily columns, blogs, and video. • commodityhq.com • Educational content, analysis, and commentary regarding commodities and futures. • agrimoney.com • The latest UK and international news, comment and analysis on soft commodities , agriculture companies and farm investment
Why You Rocked! Creativity was king… or at least it should be! (we’ll get into the reasons why in a minute) Assigned a ranking based on the following 4 criteria.
Why You Rocked! Different Styles Airlie is the creativity Queen!Have you read her blog?!? You should! Not only did she analyze her portfolio and the market on a daily basis, but she brilliantly ties it all back the farm with stories from her childhood. Amanda is the Queen of strategy! Who needs Bloomberg. Maybe she’ll offer subscriptions. All the Top 5s Thoughtful and insightful analysis Original and easy to read Concise writing style with good flow Good strategizing
Why You Rocked! BACK TO CREATIVITY.. Everyone’s blogs were excellent and a lot of work has gone into them but…. We spend all day tracking the market and the blogs are starting to look a bit like the financial news we see all day. This can be a bit BORING Especially when we have to read 25 of them! step out of your comfort zone and embrace your inner storyteller! (next week’s review group, you can thank us later)