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Business Opportunity in Corona Time

This slide was presented in the online zoom discussion to the Indonesia Property Society by me/Dr Joni Phangestu, Andy Natanael and Pinpin Bachtiar.

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Business Opportunity in Corona Time

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  1. BINCANG PROJEK 8 PELUANG BISNIS SAAT CORONA BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY IN CORONA TIME DR. Joni Phangestu 23 April 2020

  2. BLACK SWAN Improbable and unpredictable events Extraordinary impact After happened, humans concoct to explain based on facts, making it discussable and predictable • All have the same perspective pra Black Swan • How people see things will not be the same post Black Swan

  3. T I M E

  4. How Deep is the IMPACT of COVID-19 to our economy? Koreksi forecast pertumbuhan GDP dunia KRISIS 1: 1991 KRISIS 3: 2008 KRISIS 2: 1998 Indonesia’s Economic Growth Although slowdown, the economic activities still running Source : worldbank Source : the Economist, 2020

  5. The Global Covid19 Chart / by Country

  6. SCENARIO ANALYSIS : Effect and Recovery of COVID-19 Recovery from Covid19 Percentage of the society confidence and scenarios on when the pandemic will end & Its impact Fast 50% 22% 21% 18% 2–3 bln ke depan 4-6 bln ke depan 1. Quick recovery 2. Hurt but survive Intervention Time Not effective Effective 3. Bleeding 20% 33% 4. Recession 6-12 bln ke depan Indonesia 9% 27% ASIA >12 bln ke depan Long Source : Nielsen, 2020

  7. WHAT CAN BE DONE ?

  8. IMPACT TO SOCIAL LIFE Impact periode : 12 – 18 months (New Habits/ new normal)

  9. Corona : Now & Then Maximize every available opportunity 1. Manage the now with resolve and resilience Scenario based business model 2. Plan for the recovery Develop Agilitas + Resilience 3. Reimagine and shape the ‘next normal Monitor Infliction Point The right massage Be Exist

  10. Plan for recovery: What you can do Survival/ Lego & cash in < 3 mos Efficience & prepare Increase production Impact Period Efficiency continues, business model revision & total innovation New investment 3 - 6 mos Sellout/amputation /shifting >6 mos Ready Abandon Shifting/Abandon Do good deeds Negative & devastate negative Positive Impact

  11. Changing Behavior: Reimaging the New Normal Distancing/Physical contact Online/ecommerce Digital innovation Healthy lifestyle freak More automation Work from home

  12. Maximixe every opportunity from “the New Normal” PRODUCT Robot WFH Medical equipment Equipment Packaging Design Conference equipment SOHO Healthy Food PHYSICAL EO. online conference Create App Training Online Class Legal consultation Broker SERVICE CHEAP EXPENSIVE COST

  13. The New Mantra The New Mantra • In VUCA time : Agile/agillty • In crisis time/black swan : Resilience/Immunity

  14. Resilience rebound Resilient Company • Flexible – Safety buffer • Cut cost ahead of the curve. Prepared- faster-deeper • Focus to growth, even incurre additional cost Mckinsey & Co, 2019

  15. Entrepreneur yang mampu melewati krisis adalah yang memiliki resilience Entrepreneurs who are able to get through a crisis are those who have resilience

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