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John Baize

Overview of the Global Oilseed Markets Annual Meeting National Cottonseed Products Association Santa Fe, New Mexico May 4, 2009. John Baize. U.S. and Rest of World Gross National Product 1990 - 2008. Strong growth in U.S., but faster growth in rest of world

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John Baize

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  1. Overview of the Global Oilseed MarketsAnnual MeetingNational Cottonseed Products AssociationSanta Fe, New MexicoMay 4, 2009 John Baize

  2. U.S. and Rest of WorldGross National Product1990 - 2008 Strong growth in U.S., but faster growth in rest of world World economy grew by 65% in 18 years

  3. China and IndiaGross Domestic Products

  4. World Economy Now In Recession • We now have had 3 quarters of low or negative economic growth – down 6.1% in 1sr quarter 2009 • Rapidly rising unemployment in U.S. and around the world • Major reduction in bank liquidity • Low inflation or deflation • Consumer have sharply reduced consumption, boosted savings. • Restaurants particularly are seeing reduction in sales • Meat consumption is down in US and many other countries.

  5. Global Pork and Chicken Meat Production1990 - 2009

  6. Global Soymeal Consumption2000/01 – 2007/08 and Forecast for 2008/09

  7. Global Soyoil Consumption2000/01 – 2007/08 and Forecast for 2008/09

  8. Soybeans, Corn, Wheat, Cotton, and RicePercentage Change in Global Consumption 1990/91 – 2007/08 and Forecast for 2008/09

  9. U.S. Soybean Oil ConsumptionOctober – March2007/08 and 2008/09 Marketing Years

  10. U.S. Cottonseed Oil ConsumptionOctober – March2007/08 and 2008/09 Marketing Years

  11. U.S. Soymeal ConsumptionOctober – February2007/908 and 2008/09

  12. Global Soybean Production and Consumption2000/01 – 2007/08 and Forecast for 2008/09

  13. Soybean ProductionU.S., Argentina, Brazil and China

  14. Argentina’s Soybean Production2001 - 2009

  15. Annual Growth in Global Soybean Consumption2000/01 – 2007/08 and Forecast for 2008/09

  16. U.S. Harvested Area of Corn, Soybeans, and WheatA Big Battle For Land

  17. U.S. Cotton Consumption and Exports2000/01 – 2007/08 and Forecast for 2008/09

  18. U.S. Cotton Planted AreaActual 2000 – 2008 and Forecast for 2009

  19. MississippiPlanted Area of Corn, Cotton, and Soybeans2000 - 2009

  20. Global Cotton Production and Consumption2000/01 – 2007/08 and USDA Forecast for 2008/09

  21. USA, Brazil, China, and IndiaAverage Cotton YieldsBt Cotton May Be Helping Other Countries More Than U.S.

  22. Global Cotton Ending Stocks 2000/01 – 2007/08 and USDA Forecast for 2008/09

  23. U.S. Cotton Harvested Area and Cottonseed Production2000 – 2008

  24. U.S. Cottonseed UsageCrush and Use for Feed and Waste2000/01 – 2007/08 and USDA Forecast for 2008/09

  25. Cottonseed OilU.S. and Global Consumption2000/01 – 2007/08 and USDA Forecast for 2008/09

  26. U.S. Palm Oil Consumption2000/01 – 2007/08 and USDA Forecast for 2008/09

  27. World’s Largest Soybean Importers2007/08 Marketing Year

  28. Global Soybean Ending Stocks2000/01 – 2007/08 and Forecast for 2008/09

  29. Ending Stocks of SoybeansU.S., Argentina, and Brazil2000/01 – 2007/08 and Forecast for 2008/09

  30. U.S. SoybeansEnding Stocks to Use Ratio

  31. Chinese Soymeal Consumption

  32. China’s Pork and Chicken Meat Production1990 - 2009

  33. China’s Soybean Imports from All Origins2000/01 – 2006/07 and Forecast for 2007/08

  34. U.S. Soybean Exports2000/01 –2007/08 and Forecast for 2008/09

  35. U.S. Soybean Exports to China and Rest of World2003/04 – 2007/08 2008/09 as of April 16

  36. U.S. Soybean Crush2000/01 – 2006/07 and Forecast for 2007/08 and 2008/09

  37. U.S. Soybean Meal Consumption2000/01 – 2006/07 and Forecast for 2007/08 and 2008/09

  38. U.S. Corn Use for Ethanol Production1997/98 – 2007/08 and Forecast for 2008/09 About 1/3 of corn re-enters the feed market as distillers grains (25% protein)

  39. U.S. Soyoil Consumption2000/01 – 2007/08 and Forecast for 2008/09

  40. Impact of Changing Crude Oil PriceOn Energy Value of Agricultural Commodities

  41. Price of Crude Oil and Soybean OilJanuary 2007 – March 2009

  42. Global Vegetable OilsStocks to Use Ratio

  43. Past and Projected Future Demand for SoybeansWorld Likely to Need Additional 70 MMT of Soybeans in 2018

  44. Questions

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