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A simple mission, A complex communication. November 2005. Introduction. CADES is a public agency that was established in 1996 to amortize the French social security debt. Its mission was then significantly modified in 1998, 2000, 2002 and 2004.
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A simple mission, A complex communication November 2005
Introduction • CADES is a public agency that was established in 1996 to amortize the French social security debt. • Its mission was then significantly modified in 1998, 2000, 2002 and 2004. • CADES carried out an ambitious issue program in 2004 (€41 billion) and in 2005 (€35 billion). • Communication is a key factor and shows various aspects.
Outline • A brief description of CADES p.4 • The various aspects of our communication p.11 • Problematic and contradictions p.14 • Choices of CADES p.17 • Appendices p.20
CADES: a simple mechanism • An agency created in 1996 by the French State to amortize the debt generated by the French social security program and ease reform of the system. • At low cost to French taxpayers, thanks to its lean structure and use of efficient financial instruments. • A simple mechanism designed to amortize the social security debt: • CADES borrows in the financial markets. • Cash flows to investors are secured through CRDS, a tax entirely dedicated to CADES. • CADES and CRDS will disappear at a fixed date.
CADES: recognized credibility of a quasi–sovereign risk • Legal status: Etablissement Public Administratif… • … with a commitment from the State to investors: • Solvency and liquidity guarantee • Strict management control (Cour des Comptes, external audits) • The highest ratings: • Long term: Aaa/AAA/AAA (Moody’s, S&P, Fitch Ratings) • Short term: P-1 / A-1+ / F1+ (Moody’s, S&P, Fitch Ratings) • 0% risk weighting for solvency ratio and Zone A central government status • Liquidity on the secondary market: listings on local exchanges, electronic platforms
CADES: optimal management • Implementation of an asset/liability management model to optimize cost / volatility trade-off • Use of adapted and diversified financial instruments: index-linked bonds, private placement, bonds denominated in foreign currencies • Systematic hedging of foreign exchange risk • Significant reduction in counterparty credit risks through weekly margin calls
Key reforms along CADES’ life • 1996: Assumption that Social Security will be back to equilibrium in 1997: Creation of CADES and CDRS until 2009: take over of €46 billion in debt • 1998: Assumption that Social Security will be back to equilibrium in 1998: Take over of €13 billion in new debt; final life time postponed to 2014 • 2000: 1st Modification by law of the base of CRDS calculation • 2002: 2nd Modification by law of the base of CRDS calculation • 2004: Assumption that Social Security will be back to equilibrium in 2007: Take over of €50 billion in new debt; the end date of 2014 is eliminated - CADES will continue to exist until the debt is fully extinguished. - Should CADES receive some new debt after 2006, the government will have to decide accurate measures to maintain its final maturity.
Positioning of CADES’ issue program Expected funding requirements for sovereign and quasi-sovereign issuers in 2005 • (In € billions) 141 130 111 52 50 35 40 30 20 15 12 10 Source: CSFB estimates, Euro Issuance Outlook, July 29, 2004 (i) BTP only (ii) World Bank. Equivalent to USD18 bn – Exchange rate applied: US$/€uro: 1.2
CADES has now repaid nominal of €28.4 billion (€ billions) Voted debt 110.4 (1) Total CRDS receipt (i) 43 Capital amortized (est.) 28.4 (2) Interest paid (est.) 14.6 Estimated net liability position 72.4 (1) - (2) As at november 12, 2005 Source: CADES (i) included Euro 0.5 Billion for the sale of real estate assets
Which targets ? • Investors: - institutional, retail - domestic, international • Rating agencies • Authorities: ministries in charge of supervision • Parliament: political power and citizen representatives • Press
Which reasons ? • Regulation: information to investors under the supervision of the market authorities • Marketing: - to extend the investor base - to lower the cost of funding • Lobbying: to influence political decisions
Our investor base • International, institutional investors: central banks, life insurances, mutual funds, pension funds… • Hedge funds? • International, domestic retail ?
Beauty contest or Prudence ? • Toward Investors: CADES shows no risk as we are in a stable political environment under rational supervision; • Toward Supervisors: CADES reimbursement capacity is volatile, funding level is sensitive; • Toward Press: both risks
Means of communication Basic assumption: we don’t target domestic retail investors • Road shows: - one to one - meetings, conferences • Website • Newsletter • Press releases, Press contacts • Advertisement • Board meetings, Parliament committees, State audit service
The rôle of the communication agency CADES has no team dedicated to communication: Need for outsourcing • A specific choice of action due to the scope of activity: - Interest rates instruments for institutional investors - limited number of competitors among AAA issuers world • International capabilities: investors lists, acurate press contacts, local logistic • Need to be able to react to news with political consequences
An active communication program • Web:www.cades.fr • Contact: christophe.frankel@cades.fr • Bloomberg:CADES <Go> • Reuters: • CADESMTS01 • CADESMTS02 • CADES/T/U/V • CADES01-04