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Commercial Property – Shape the Debate: Have your say on engagement, value and risk. Chair: Keith Bugden, Programme Director, BBP Paul Edwards, Head of Sustainability, Hammerson Miles Keeping, Partner and Head of Responsible Property Investment, Drivers Jonas Deloitte Stuart Bowman, CoreNet
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Commercial Property – Shape the Debate: Have your say on engagement, value and risk • Chair: Keith Bugden, Programme Director, BBP • Paul Edwards, Head of Sustainability, Hammerson • Miles Keeping, Partner and Head of Responsible Property Investment, Drivers Jonas Deloitte • Stuart Bowman, CoreNet • Matthew Tippett, Upstream Sustainability Services, Jones Lang Lasalle Bartholomew Room
Paul EdwardsHead of Sustainability OWNER OCCUPIER ENGAGEMENT
Key issues…. • Sharing information is the key to success • Owners and occupiers have the same challenges and opportunities • Best results can be achieved through partnership and collaboration
Questions….. • Who is most responsible for taking the lead in engagement? Owner or Occupier? • Owner • Occupier • Do you think regulation over the past 5 years has helped in any way to improve owner / occupier relations? • Yes • No
Miles Keeping CEnvMRICSFRSAPartner, Sustainability GREEN VALUE
Key issues…. One main issue & two key issues • The main issue we really do need to get over: • Value premium or value discount? • Other issues: • What are the key drivers of value? • We all need to be more sophisticated in our analysis!
Premium or Discount: ‘Re-phrasing’ the Evidence Rental Value divergence between energy efficient and non-energy efficient offices – The Netherlands Source: The Value of Energy Labels in the European Office Market – Nils Kok & Maarten Jennen – May 2011 9
Premium or Discount: ‘Re-phrasing’ the Evidence Rental Value divergence between energy efficient and non-energy efficient offices – The Netherlands Source: The Value of Energy Labels in the European Office Market – Nils Kok & Maarten Jennen – May 2011 Correlation between Energy Efficiency and Rental Indices “Generally” Positive “Generally” Negative
Drivers of value: Some scenario implications Source: IIGCC (2010)
Sophisticated analysis: Understanding the threats to valueLikelihood of occupiers acting on their policies Strength of carbon reduction policy amongst different business types (based on sample of £1.5bn of tenant-occupied real estate assets) Proportion of rental income (%) Source: SIAM LLP Sector No Policy Policy With targets Source: Deloitte LLP
Conclusion • Increasingly compelling evidence available supporting value shift as a result of energy efficiency/wider sustainability factors • Riskthat trend is interpreted as delivering ‘Premium’ or ‘Added’ Value… of greater concern is depreciation and obsolescence • Impact on property and portfolio performance will be property specific – and not based solely on sustainability credentials • Impact of tenant demand will be interesting & important to monitor • Strategy should focus on immediacy, likelihood and scale of impact together with ability to mitigate and harness upside.
Questions….. • Do you believe there is a link between sustainability performance and value? • Yes • No • What do you think will be the biggest driver linking sustainability to value? • Obsolescence • Tenant retention • Increasing Regulation • Rental value • Building Ratings (EPCs, DECs etc)
Stuart Bowman CEng MEIDirector of Breathe Energy LtdKnowledge & Learning Group Leader CoreNet UK CLIMATE CHANGE RISK
Key issues…. • Tangible climate change risks • How big are these risks? • How important are these risks?
Questions….. • What do you consider the biggest climate change risk? • Buildings no longer fit for purpose • Escalation of operational costs • Insurance availability • Disruptions to supply chain • None are of significance • How important, relative to other business issues, is the management of climate change risk? • High • Medium • Low • Not on our radar
Commercial Property – Shape the Debate: Have your say on engagement, value and risk Matthew Tippett, Upstream Sustainability Services, Jones Lang Lasalle Bartholomew Room