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India Water Markets and Opportunities A Perspective

India Water Markets and Opportunities A Perspective . Agenda. Context - CH2M HILL India Water Market Potential And Drivers India Water Market Opportunities India Water Market Prognosis Private And Public Partnership Drivers And Progress Suggested Improvements . CH2M HILL .

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India Water Markets and Opportunities A Perspective

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  1. India Water Markets and Opportunities A Perspective

  2. Agenda • Context - CH2M HILL • India Water Market Potential And Drivers • India Water Market Opportunities • India Water Market Prognosis • Private And Public Partnership Drivers And Progress • Suggested Improvements

  3. CH2M HILL

  4. CH2M HILL Staff Strength Revenue • FORTUNE 500 company (Rank 456, 2009) 4

  5. CH2M HILL – Leading Mega Programs Interceptor Sewer, Delhi London Tideway Tunnels US Forces Korea Base Location London 2012 Olympics Mumbai Airport, India UK Crossrail Project DTSS/Changi WRP SewerFix Panama Canal Expansion Program Puerto Rico Infrastructure MASDAR Green City Abu Dhabi Nuclear Civil Program

  6. CH2M HILL India – Multi Disciplinary Team • Our India corporate office is located in Gurgaon • More than 150 multidisciplinary staff with Sewerage, Program Management, Mechanical, Electrical, Instrumentation, Urban Planning, Financial, Institutional strengthening, GIS 6

  7. INDIA WATER MARKET POTENTIAL AND DRIVERS

  8. INDIA TO REAP BENEFITS OF DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND

  9. INDIAN WILL BE THE 3RD LARGEST ECONOMY IN THE WORLD BY 2050 Real GDP in 2006 (Figures in US$ Bn.) Estimated Real GDP in 2050 (Figures in US$ Bn.) India is the only economy that will continue progressing at growth rates significantly above 5% between 2005-50 The Recent World Bank Projection of 8% GDP growth for India in 2010, overtaking China’s projected growth of 7.7%. Source: Dreaming With BRICs: The Path to 2050; Global Economics; Paper No: 99; Goldman Sachs

  10. WHOLE OF ASIA – WATER STRESS/ SCARE AREA BY 2020 – DRIVER

  11. INDIA WATER MARKET OPPORTUNITIES

  12. GWI Apr 09 KEY MARKET TRENDS/OBSERVATIONS- OPPORTUNITIES • Annual market in India is up to $6 to $ 8B, growing at 15 to 20%. • Population growth, migration from rural to urban areas, tightening regulations and aging infrastructure • Increasing demand for improvements in the level of services, realisation at all level that lack of infrastructure to stifle India growth story • Energy-Water-Environment-Sustainability nexus and optimisation • Increasing demand for River clean-up, stream, and water bodies restoration • Funding through local sources (JUNRUM), PE funds, IFI agencies (JBIC, WB, ADB, USAID etc.) • Increasing PPP opportunities in Water Sector TOI Jun 2008

  13. WATER SECTOR OPPORTUNITIES • Water Resources – Dams/ Storage/ Catchment protection • Ground water - Rain water harvesting/ ASR/ Ground Water Contamination • Conveyance, Canal, Tunnels, Pipelines • Unaccountability for Water “UFW” or NRW, Under Value/ pricing of water, wastages • Sewer Conveyance, liquid and solid treatment, Sewer / Wastewater treatment Rehabilitation • Inadequate distribution of water resources (infrastructure, irrigation) • Operations & Maintenance of the water and sewerage infrastructure Opportunities exist across whole supply chain space… study, consulting, design, EPC/ DB, Equipment Vendors, PPP projects

  14. INDIA WATER MARKET PROGNOSIS

  15. Water Market Prognosis • Water business is local and at differing stages of evolution across India • Major clients … third layer of Govt agencies ( local ULBs).. Limited Institutional capacity • Local market characterised by the “tentative” behaviour by municipal / government agencies with different degree of bureaucracy • “Uncertainty is Certain” • Cut –throat local competition • Majority of Clients prefer price to value • Water is recognised as a one of the national risks along with energy

  16. LOCAL ULBs CHARACTERISTICS AND THE VICIOUS CIRCLE • Low institutional Capacity, insufficient Financial and Managerial Resources • Inadequate Coverage and Low Service Level, Poor O&M • Low Tariff and High Non Revenue Component, Poor cost recovery • Unsustainable Resources Management practices

  17. PRIVATE AND PUBLIC PARTNERSHIP DRIVERS AND PROGRESS

  18. Need for PPP • Financial gap…. Lack of Management Accountability • Low Service levels v/s demand for better services • Increasing affordability at least in Metro cities • Skill and Strength Gap ( Engineering, Accounting/ Financial, Management) • Unwillingness to adopt new technology by ULBs • Competition among states to provide better services in a shorter time • Increasing willingness on part of Government

  19. PPP PROGRESS So Far…. Some Success Some projects delayed/ Shelved Future Momentum Subsided Start of Pessimism Current Mid 90s Mid 2000 Early 2000 New Initiatives Good International Interest Not so good results New effort to Prepare PPP project s Stakeholder oppositions High Profile Projects derailed Many initiatives Commercial results awaited PPP at inflexion point

  20. SUGGESTED IMPROVEMENTS

  21. SUGGESTED IMPROVEMENTS • General • Enhance and make transparency on project more visible • Poor performance track record – too many bad examples of  pre bid and post bid implementations – focus good projects and what went right • Project Preparation • Conduct Financial viability and Funding support • Realistic estimate of schedule and cost • Political Alignment • Get professional support if appropriate in-house support is not available • Aim and plan for high quality • Plan based on the real time and contextual data

  22. Selection Based on QFB System Cost Saving Opportunity Project Risk Profile Cost Saving Opportunity Construction Planning Engineering Start Up and Commissioning Procurement 35 to 50% +/-5% 40 to 50% 5 to 10% of Project Budget of Project Budget of Project Budget of Project Budget Project Life Cycle Timeline

  23. SUGGESTED IMPROVEMENTS • Procurement • Do not invite bid if the project is not ready • Quality and fee based selection • Adhering to the planned Schedule and time line • Transparency  in the procurements process • Structured process, TOR clarity, quality of documentation, communication, response times, dead lines etc • Realistic expectations and appropriate risk allocation (accepted and understood international standards) • Delivery • Timely availability of data • Timely approval / decision and payments • Early involvements of Stakeholders • Establishment of Project Management Unit or project Manager in client organisation

  24. THANK YOU

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