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Golden Age of Polar Prediction Research: Integrating Observations and Models for Climate Studies

This comprehensive research initiative involves the collaboration of various international bodies to enhance polar prediction capabilities. Drawing inspiration from historic figures, the project aims to advance the understanding of key atmospheric phenomena like tropical cyclones, monsoon variability, and the diurnal cycle. Leveraging cutting-edge satellite observation systems such as A-TRAIN, the project underscores the importance of integrating data from diverse sources for comprehensive analysis. Key elements include establishing a joint project supported by multiple organizations and implementing a structured plan that leverages existing resources and expertise. By fostering collaboration and utilizing advanced methodologies, this initiative seeks to propel climate research into a new era of discovery and insight.

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Golden Age of Polar Prediction Research: Integrating Observations and Models for Climate Studies

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  1. POLAR WORKSHOP • Write up and publish the recommendations and presentations and provide to: • EC-PORS (October 2010) • WGNE (October 2010) • WCRP Bergen meeting (October 2010) • WWRP/THORPEX/WCRP Seasonal Workshop (December 2010) • WWRP/JSC (January 2011) • WCRP/JSC (Late winter 2010/11) • THORPEX ICSC (Spring 2011) • WGNE Conference on Parametrization • WCRP Open Science Conference (2011)

  2. POLAR PREDICTION RESEARCH First source of inspiration Pieter Brueghel the Elder POLAR PREDICTION

  3. SUPPORTING A POLAR PROJECT or not?

  4. ECMWF Database May ‘08 – Apr ’10 (relevant not just to YOTC) Research Focus MJO & Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves ITCZ, Easterly Waves,TCs Trop-ExtraTrop Interaction Monsoon Intraseasonal Variability Diurnal Cycle International Collaboration and Integration of Models and Observations

  5. The golden age of Earth observations A-TRAIN constellation of satellites “CloudSat” and “CALIPSO” This ‘observing system’ views the atmosphere in a variety of ways – each providing different information in a coincident way

  6. POLAR PREDICTION RESEARCH Second source of inspiration Jan Bruegel the Younger • Joint Project supported by WWRP, WCRP and THORPEX similar to the YOTC project? • Project Office (at NCAR & funded by NSF & NOAA for YOTC for example – need volunteer) • Steering Group? (size?) • Implementation Plan? - utilizing the existing groups • Sub-projects (observations; modelling; ........... • Modus Operandi – workshops; science meetings ............ • Timetable ; Met services

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