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Without climate policy-scenario of Finland

Explore Finland's Climate Strategy, energy projections, and industrial growth scenarios. Learn about CO2 emissions, nuclear power, and renewable energy use. Understand the impact of economic growth and taxation on energy policies.

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Without climate policy-scenario of Finland

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  1. Without climate policy-scenario of Finland

  2. Climate Strategy • National Climate Strategy in 2001 • general elections in 2003 • new government is updating Climate Strategy • new scenarios are under construction

  3. National energy projection • emissions in ”with measures”- scenario over Kyoto level, policy scenario under construction • economic growth up to 2010 about 3 % per annum • industry 2,5 • energy prices are expected to be stable, • source IEA

  4. National peculiarities • a new nuclear power unit in 2009/2010 (1000-1600 MW) • CO2-emissions grow up to 2009 • no incentive to invest to power production • increasing demand for electricity is satisfied with existing coal condensing power • growth of transport sector is expected to be moderate • high taxation of traffic fuels • high taxation of new cars

  5. Comparison of the PRIMES calculations with national projections • CO2 emissions • in the PRIMES calculations under the 1990 level, 51,4 Mt CO2 • in national calculations over the 1990 level, about 64 Mt CO2 • growth of energy intensive industry • in PRIMES calculations lower than in national calculations • use of black liquor, biomass and natural gas is higher in PRIMES scenario than in the national scenario

  6. Growth of energy intensive industry • pulp and paper • in PRIMES 0,4 % annually • in national calculations 1,5 % annually • iron and steel • in PRIMES 0,6 % annually • in national calculations 2,2 % annually • chemical industry • in PRIMES 1,7 % annually • in national calculations 1,8 % annually

  7. Use of biomass and natural gas • use of biomass (= wood ?) • technical reason to use peat • matter of technology • use of natural gas • natural gas network only in the southern part of Finland • all natural gas from one country

  8. So there should be discussion about … • the structure of economic growth • use of renewables and natural gas • We are also interested in • the description of pulp and paper industry in PRIMES • the descripton of CHP-production in PRIMES

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