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Information Systems Programs become Accredited - COBOL in Crisis. Bob Roggio – University of North Florida James Comer - Texas Christian University Pam Brauda – University of North Florida. Outline. 1. Background: COBOL Dominance in the Corporate IT World
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Information Systems Programs become Accredited - COBOL in Crisis Bob Roggio – University of North Florida James Comer - Texas Christian University Pam Brauda – University of North Florida
Outline • 1. Background: COBOL Dominance in the Corporate IT World • 2. COBOL: Problems and Trends in Academe’ • 3. IS Accreditation and COBOL Instruction • 4. Facts and Inferences from Accreditation – The Real Future of COBOL • 5. Conclusions
1. COBOL Dominance in the Corporate IT World • IT successfully transitioned billions of LOC to be Y2K compliant • Faculty/IT managers must now reconcile COBOL’s role for at least 10-15 years • Unimaginable dependence on COBOL was clearly revealed in $300 - $600 billion spent on Y2K issues. • Insights gained into pervasiveness of COBOL and to corporate ‘bottom line.’
COBOL Dominance in the Corporate IT World - Today • Stern, Stern and Ley: (2003) • 150-250 billion lines of code. • In DOD: 59% of all IS applications using COBOL • 85% of world’s business data systems written in COBOL • Estimate that 35% of all new business application development – in COBOL • Legacy Reserve: (2003) • CICS volume (e.g. COBOL-based ATM transactions) grew 50% in four years from 20 billion (1998) to 30 billion (2003)
COBOL Dominance in the Corporate IT World - Today and Tomorrow • Research by Legacy Reserves: (2003) • “Integration [of object-oriented and web-based features] with Legacies is the number one concern of IT managers in 2003;” • “The most highly paid programmers in the next ten years are going to be COBOL programmers who know the Internet.” • Stern, Stern, and Ley: (2003) • Annual growth of COBOL code over the next four years is projected to be five billion lines.
2. COBOL – Problems and Language Trends in Academe’ - Yesterday • 1995 – C++ offered in 60%; 53% in 1998 (largely “C”) • 1995 – COBOL offered in 90%; 53% in 1998 1995 - COBOL OO – 0%; 7% in 1998. 1995 – Java – 0%; 43% in 1998 1995 – Visual Basic – 59%; 70% in 1998. (especially “MIS”)
COBOL – Problems and Language Trends in Academe’ – Today • Numbers are getting worse as programs clamor to espouse the latest techniques, methodologies, and development tools. • Network programming; security; database • Client-server – web-based applications • Reusability and component-based software development • Rapid Application Development
COBOL – Problems and Language Trends in Academe’ – Today • We are in an “…era when COBOL programming is about as ‘uncool’ as a graduate can get.”(Newing, 2003) • An interesting theory contributing to the demise of COBOL and rise of languages such as Java is: • “…[is] simply because [languages] like C and Java are so convoluted that they require lots of books and magazines and web sites dedicated to explaining and supporting them, so they have a high perceived use, where COBOL ‘just runs’ and doesn’t really need that kind of infrastructure associated with it. (Gordon, 2003)
COBOL – Problems and Language Trends in Academe’ – Today Summary • Cause for alarm for many world-wide is apparent. • Trends for COBOL instruction rapidly diminishing • Modern features of COBOL 2002 rarely taught • Leveraging COBOL for internet applications are minimally (if at all) communicated • Faculty and student interest in teaching COBOL continues to wane, generally in favor of instruction in the more exciting and newer technologies • Little evidence that this trend for reduced/eliminated COBOL instruction in most programs will slow down.
3. IS Accreditation and COBOL Instruction • 2001 – 2002 ABET/CAC Accreditation Cycle • One pilot program – Pace University (New York City) • 2002 – 2003 ABET/CAC Accreditation Cycle • Full cycle – six additional programs accredited: • Robert Morris University (Moon Township, PA) • University of South Alabama (Mobile, AL) • University of North Florida (Jacksonville, FL) • Illinois State University (Bloomington-Normal, IL) • Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU) (Richmond, VA) • Drexel University (Philadelphia, PA)
Brief Background: Drafts of IS Criteria • Presented at many conferences and included: • SIGCSE, FIE, AMCIS, IAIM, ICIS, ISECON, ICIS, and IACIS which include several, if not all of the IS organizations. • Web surveys - with over 300 respondents - undertaken to gain additional buy-in and feedback. • Comprehensive efforts undertaken to create the current IS Criteria and to gather agreement within the IS community. • For our study, every attempt to gain access to correct data was made: • Web sites, email, phone calls, catalogs, and more… • Many programs are in a state of flux and there is lag time between implementation of changes and course catalogs.
4. Facts and Inferences from Accreditation – and the Real Future of COBOL • Two (of seven) require COBOL: • University of North Florida and Illinois State Univ. • COBOL – optional • Robert Morris University – may take COBOL as a language option, but others are available • COBOL unavailable or being eliminated • University of South Alabama • (used to offer; contact person lamented its demise…) • Virginia Commonwealth • Pace University, and • Drexel University
More Facts and Inferences from Accreditation – The Real Future of COBOL • Main language: • Java and C++ - actually rather close. • All programs have a strong database component – SQL, etc. • A couple of programs offer Artificial Intelligence (electives) so perhaps Lisp, Prolog • Some include courses in Internet Programming and to a lesser extent VB
Interesting Observations • Programs housed in diverse academic units • One in a college with engineering (UNF) • One in a school of business (VCU) • Two IS programs offered in same unit as computer science (all others offered computer science in a different academic unit) • Also noticeable: Trend for separate colleges of schools for IS and IS related programs: • University of South Alabama • Pace University • Drexel University • University of North Florida (formerly)
Accreditation and COBOLWhat Accreditation Does Not Do: • There is NO CASUAL RELATIONSHIP between accreditation and the decline of COBOL instruction… • Neither ABET/CAC accreditation process nor the information systems Criteriacause programs to directly reorient their curricula.
Accreditation and COBOLWhat Accreditation Can Do: • BUT: for the many programs seeking accreditation, accredited programs will serve as models of successful accreditation efforts. • Many inferences can be drawn from these. • Specific inferences on programming languages can be made. • Everything about these programs will be viewed by many schools planning to seek IS accreditation. • Two of seven accredited programs require COBOL • Programs ‘on the bubble’ re: COBOL have more fuel. • Authors feel the continuing spiral in COBOL will continue and seem to be codified by these accreditation actions.
5. Conclusions • COBOL will continue to underpin much of business data processing for a number of years to come • Academe’ is not heeding the words of large sections of the corporate community • Programs recently accredited by ABET appear to be codifying academic trends • Future Accreditation Cycles will provide more data • On the horizon: Accreditation of Information Technology (IT) programs – by ABET/CAC • Criteria? In general, more applied, less theoretical, but NOT KNOWN at this time. • The new crisis: not Y2K, but ‘Post Y2K.’
Thank you! I will send a copy of these overheads to you if you email me at broggio@unf.edu