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Chronicling Latinos’ diverse experience in a changing America

Chronicling Latinos’ diverse experience in a changing America. 1615 L Street, NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC 20036 202-419-3600(main) 202-419-3608(fax) www.pewhispanic.org. DEMOGRAPHY. Population Growth, Immigration and the Latino population.

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Chronicling Latinos’ diverse experience in a changing America

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  1. Chronicling Latinos’ diverse experience in a changing America 1615 L Street, NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC 20036 202-419-3600(main) 202-419-3608(fax) www.pewhispanic.org

  2. DEMOGRAPHY

  3. Population Growth, Immigration and the Latino population • 46 million Latinos (2007 est.)—Tripled since 1980 • Latinos Projected to Triple Again by 2050 • Share Projected to Double • Growth of Latinos Driven by Past Immigration • Momentum Leads to Growth of Native-Born Latino Population • Hispanic Births Far Outpace Immigration after 2000 • New Geographic Centers Emerging

  4. U.S. Population by Race & Nativity: 2006Fastest Growth By Hispanics and Asians Total U.S. Population — 299.4 million

  5. U.S. Population by Race & Nativity: 2006Fastest Growth By Hispanics and Asians Total U.S. Population — 299.4 million

  6. 11-fold Hispanic Growth since 1950 — Driven by post-1970 Immigration Population in millions Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008).

  7. Hispanic Growth Likely to Continue Population in millions Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008).

  8. Hispanic Share Doubles to 29% by 2050—Asian Share also Doubles Percent of Total Population Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.

  9. Hispanic Immigrants Exceed Births from 1970; Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.

  10. Hispanic Immigrants Exceed Births from 1970;Pattern Reverses in 2000s Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.

  11. Hispanic Births Exceed Immigrants from 2000;Percent Foreign-Born Has PEAKED Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.

  12. Hispanic Population Younger

  13. Native-Born Younger

  14. Many U.S.-Citizen Children Live in Homes with an Undocumented Parent(s) In millions

  15. Where Were Concentrations in 1980?Almost All 15%+ Counties Along Border 14.6 Million Hispanics 6.4% of Total

  16. Where Were Concentrations in 1990?Almost All 15%+ Counties Along Border, Still 22.4 Million Hispanics 9.0% of Total 236 Counties With 15%+ Hispanic

  17. Where Were Concentrations in 2000?Fast Growth Away from Border 35.3 Million Hispanics 12.5% of Total 333 Counties With 15%+ Hispanic

  18. Where Were Concentrations in 2007?Many Concentrations Emerge in Distant Areas 45.5 Million Hispanics 15.1% of Total 414 Counties With 15%+ Hispanic

  19. Hispanics Students in Public Schools

  20. Hispanic Students in Public Schools • One in five public school students is Hispanic (20.5%) • Between 1990 and 2006, Hispanics represented 60% of all growth • Half of all Hispanics students are in California and Texas • 34% of Hispanic students have parents without a HS diploma

  21. Between 10% and 20% Latino (13 states) Between 20% and 40% Latino (5 states) Between 5% and 10% Latino (12 states) Less than 5% Latino (16 states) More than 40% Latino (4 states) Hispanic Share of Public School Students, by State Pew Hispanic Center tabulations of the 2006 ACS (1% IPUMS sample) Percent of Students who are Latino

  22. The Economic Downturn

  23. Personal Financial Situation Today “Excellent” or “Good” | “Only Fair” or “Poor”

  24. Many Latino Homeowners Worry They May Lose Their Homes to Foreclosure Percent of Latino Homeowners “A Lot” or “Some” | “Not much” or “Not at all”

  25. Rising Unemployment

  26. Local Job Opportunities Hard to Find Percent of Latino Adults “Plenty of jobs available” | “Jobs are difficult to find”

  27. Quarterly Unemployment Rate (seasonally adjusted) Note: The comparability of the data over time is affected slightly by annual revisions in the CPS methodology. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

  28. The Monthly Job Loss Rate, Jan. 2006 to Sept. 2008 Source: Pew Hispanic tabulations of Current Population Survey data Note: Percent of workers employed in one month who are unemployed or discouraged in the next month.

  29. Hispanic Share of Employment for Selected Industries, 2008: 5 Highest and 5 Lowest Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from Current Population Surveys for the fourth quarter of 2008; non-seasonally adjusted.

  30. Share of Children with at Least one Parent in Labor Market Hardship Source: Tabulations of the CPS by John Coder.

  31. Share of Children with at Least one Parent in Labor Market Hardship Source: Tabulations of the CPS by John Coder.

  32. Share of Children with at Least one Parent in Labor Market Hardship Source: Tabulations of the CPS by John Coder.

  33. Share of Children with at Least one Parent in Labor Market Hardship Source: Tabulations of the CPS by John Coder.

  34. Changing Economic Behaviors

  35. Hispanics’ Changing Economic Behaviors Percent of Latino Adults

  36. Priorities for the New Administration

  37. Hispanics’ Priorities for Obama Administration Percent of Latino Adults saying “extremely important”

  38. Mark Hugo Lopez Associate Director Pew Hispanic Center (202) 419-3617 www.pewhispanic.org mlopez@pewhispanic.org

  39. Chronicling Latinos’ diverse experience in a changing America 1615 L Street, NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC 20036 202-419-3600(main) 202-419-3608(fax) www.pewhispanic.org

  40. Workplace

  41. Labor Force by Race/Ethnicity, 2008(millions) * Non-Hispanic. Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from Current Population Surveys for the fourth quarter of 2008; non-seasonally adjusted.

  42. Hispanic Share of the Labor Force,by Age: 2007 Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from Current Population Surveys for the first quarter of 2007; non-seasonally adjusted.

  43. Hispanic Share of the Labor Force,by Education: 2007 4.5% 6.8% 9.5% 11.5% 14.0% 14.3% 39.9% Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from Current Population Surveys for the first quarter of 2007; non-seasonally adjusted.

  44. 2008 National Survey of Latinos

  45. 2008 National Survey of Latinos: Economics and Politics • Conducted from Nov. 11 through Nov. 30, 2008 • Only Latinos ages 18 and older interviewed • 1,540 completed interviews • Survey length: ~18 minutes • Completed in Spanish, English or both languages • Spanish only: 960 • English only: 498 • Both: 82 • Landline only • Margin of error: +/- 3 percentage points

  46. PHC Survey Methodology • Latinos are 15% of the population = expensive to reach • Utilize 5 strata (by general incidence of reaching a Hispanic household) • For Landline phones – 5 Strata: • Surname • Very high • High • Medium • Low

  47. Hispanic Voting Power Gets Diluted byDemographic Factors (15.1% in Total) Percent Hispanic in… Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from 2007 ACS.

  48. Hispanic Voting Power Gets Diluted byYouth of Hispanics (15.1%  13.2%) Percent Hispanic in… % Under 18… Hispanic 33.9% Non-Hispanic 22.8% Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from 2007 ACS.

  49. Hispanic Voting Power Gets Diluted byImmigrants (13.2%  8.9%) Percent Hispanic in… % Non-Citizen Of 18+… Hispanic 38.7% Non-Hispanic 4.0% % Under 18… Hispanic 33.9% Non-Hispanic 22.8% Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from 2007 ACS.

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