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Nordic Foresight Forum, First meeting 26 October, Risø National Laboratory, Roskilde

Nordic Foresight Forum, First meeting 26 October, Risø National Laboratory, Roskilde. Status on national level foresight activities in the Nordic Countries Thorvald Finnbjörnsson head of department RANNIS, Analysis, Evaluation and Indicators. Early beginning.

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Nordic Foresight Forum, First meeting 26 October, Risø National Laboratory, Roskilde

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  1. Nordic Foresight Forum, First meeting26 October, Risø National Laboratory, Roskilde Status on national level foresight activities in the Nordic Countries Thorvald Finnbjörnsson head of department RANNIS, Analysis, Evaluation and Indicators

  2. Early beginning • Technology foresight in the Nordic Countries, report Risö 2002. • Interview with key policy makers in: • Ministry of Industry and Trade • Icelandic Research Council • Icelandic Technology Industry • The New Business Venture fond • University of Iceland • Federation of Icelandic Industries by Birte Holst Jörgensen

  3. Main results of the 2002 survey • Situation as of the survey • Short term plans, innovatin regional development etc • Short term strategies for R&D • Pragmatic prioritations • In academia – spin offs • Direct project idea in field of Hydrogen energy • Vision seminars and forums of technology Processes are generally transparent but rearly follow known TF models

  4. TF in field of Hydrogen society NICe (NI) initiative in field of Hydrogen society financed by NICe. Project management at Risö. Icelandic participation by University of Iceland, department of science. (Thorsteinn I Sigfússon)

  5. Since then • Technology foresight is not embedded in desicion making... yet, .. but.. • The term is quite well known • Working methods are being observed • Need in various plans are being identified • Rannis takes part along with experienced partners in a NICe, call for proposal, leading to a Forum and a project • Biotechnology from the sixties until today • TF activites in the ministry of Education and Science

  6. Awarness raising of TF • EU Commission represented at the event of Innovation price, theme TF (Christer Swanfelt) • RANNIS and RU with joing workshop on TF (Arnold Verbeek) • Ministry of Education and Science, identified TF in relation to key technologies (Eirikur Baldursson) • Proposed joint projet in field of TF in 2006, project idea under construction (Rannis).

  7. Risk! Crisis! Crisis! Crisis!

  8. R&D expenditures and R&D as a percentage of GDP in 1950-2001 Millj kr FTE 25.000 3,0% 2.500 2.250 2.000 1.750 1.500 1.250 1.000 750 500 250 0 22.500 2,5% 20.000 R&D/GDP Important years: 17.500 2,0% Major events R&D Personell 15.000 OECD reviews 12.500 1,5% 10.000 1,0% 7.500 5.000 0,5% 2.500 0 0,0% 1 1 2 3 2 4 3 4 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1980 1990 2000 Total R&D exp R&D by firms R&D/GDP Manyears Útgj RoÞ Þar af fyrirt RoÞ/VLF Ársverk

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