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Planet Bean make it count . By: Martin Chidwick. Passionate about Pulses Brazen lover of Beans. How do I present todays report in light of the ever escalating transparency of market information and ever increasing understanding of Thomas Friedmans book "The World Is Flat".
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Planet Bean make it count By: Martin Chidwick
Passionate about Pulses Brazen lover of Beans
How do I present todays report in light of the ever escalating transparency of market information and ever increasing understanding of Thomas Friedmans book "The World Is Flat". What is different this year, to the presentation I gave last year, at about this time? Are we humbled yet by the pace of change and the extraordinary reality of demographic changes in this "flat" world ??
Are we asking why forecasters and economists can be so far wrong? • The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries assumptions • for forecasts are confounded by speed of change, so much so that the next outlook, 2007-2016, is very • thought provoking (see a little later in this presentation some samples of what I mean..........) • Do we know that international law recognizes that everyone has the right to be free from hunger, and 22 countries have enshrined food rights in their constitutions (including the burgeoning economy of India**)?.This last fact is absolutely critical for our industry.
Are you aware that the world's cattle consume a quantity of food equal to the caloric value of 8.7 billion people? More than the entire population of the planet. That 80% of agricultural land in USA is used to raise animals for food. That it takes 2,500 gallons of water to produce 1 pound of meat and only 60 gallons to produce 1 pound of wheat. Did you know that in the USA alone; 392,000 ounces (87,000lbs) per second, or 3,409,344 million tonnes of animal excrement are created per day (no wonder they need so much water)? Much of this enters our rivers and streams!
Each vegetarian saves an acre of trees per year. MESSAGE TO WORLD - EAT PULSES , EAT BEANS - GET YOU PROTEIN CHARGE FROM A GREEN SOURCE!! In the last year, over 101 million people have been added to the worlds population.....!! If they consumed just 2 "miserable" (as in tiny amount) pounds of beans per year each, just 2, then we would have a new demand for over 9 million cwt!! Trivia question - "What is the number one new baby boys name in England right now?". Behind the Back Curveball
OECD-FAO AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK 2007 - 2016 contains these words Measured by global imports, world trade is projected to grow for all commodities reviewed in this report , without exception. By 2016, and compared to the average for 2001-05,trade expansion remains modest for SMP (7%), is situated at 13%-17% for coarse grains and wheat respectively, but grows by between over 50% for beef, pigmeat** ( EAT PULSES, EAT BEANS-GET YOUR PROTEIN CHARGE FROM A GREEN SOURCE!! )and WMP and by close to 70% for vegetable oils.
Doesn’t this all excite you??!! What are we doing to position ourselves and take our place in the growing demand! Health and nutrition are paramount, but what else our we missing...??
Parallel India's emergence with that of China, and especially in light of the book published in 1995..."Who is going to feed China? "The projections for meat consumption then were borne out by reality, 10 years later. It is largely a result more income and better eating....In India the higher the income the higher the consumption for pulses. Remember this is largely a vegetarian society! • What do the numbers 215, 235, 270, 305, 335, 360, 390 and 402 mean to you? • What does the number 925 mean to you? ( See a little later what the number 31829 will mean to you!!.........)
We consume in N. America 35% of the worlds fossil fuels and then we tell the emerging markets to watch for greenhouse gas emissions and protect the environment!!
3 billion emerging capitalists auto industry is spending $300 million dollars on researching better eating and drinking stations in our SUV's.....er Sorry, I mean hybrid Hummers..... the rice industry took uncooked rice from 15 minutes on the stove to 3 minutes, while we are still 8 hours just soaking our uncooked beans!!
Little White Cowpea Purple beans Jalo kidney beams Carioca beans Black beans White Brown Eye Cowpea Beans Light Speckled Kidney Beans
Myanmar aims for larger share in world beans market second largest beans and pulses exporter in the world after Canada export one million tons of beans and pulses annually Beans and pulses stand as one of the 10 major items of crops that Myanmar grow since 1988-89, the cultivated area of beans and pulses has gradually grown year by year, reaching 3.6 million hectares in 2004-05 with a production of up to 3.5 million tons planning to establish special beans and pulses cultivation zones across the country to produce quality crops for export agricultural crops to be exported further to European and Middle-East markets
India : 925 numbers 215-402
China China
Chinese Pulses Production in 2006/2007 Crop Year • Note: the above statistics are provided by Chinese agricultural experts.
II. Chinese Pulses Trade in 2006/2007 Crop Year • Kidney Bean From Oct. 2006 to Mar. 2007, Chinese export of kidney bean was 290,000 tons, a fall of 19.1% compared with the same period of the previous year.
II. Chinese Pulses Trade in 2006/2007 Crop Year • Mung Bean From Oct. 2006 to Mar. 2007, Chinese export of mung bean reached 80,000 tons, a rise of 15.5% compared with the same period of the previous year, while export value was 60.27 million US dollars, an increase of 41.2% compared with the same period of the previous year.
II. Chinese Pulses Trade in 2006/2007 Crop Year • Small Red Bean From Oct. 2006 to Mar. 2007, Chinese export of small red bean amounted to 30,000 tons, a rise of 11.6% compared with the same period of the previous year, while export value was 16 million USD, an increase of 6.6% compared with the same period of the previous year.
III. An Outlook of Chinese Pulses Industry in 2007/2008 • 1.The planting acreage is estimated to be not higher than that of this crop year, and the final output will be not clear.
III. An Outlook of Chinese Pulses Industry in 2007/2008 • 2006/2007 was a year when all Chinese grains prices unceasingly went up. As the prices of staple grain products like corn, soybean, etc were also rising, it is estimated that pulses planting acreage will remain that of 2006.
III. An Outlook of Chinese Pulses Industry in 2007/2008 • At present, ever-increasing requirement for pulses export quality drives many people in Chinese pulses industry to expand input in warehouses, processing factories and equipment. Pulses export quality has been improved continuously. Many products go directly to canneries in the importing countries or to supermarkets after packed in small packages.
III. An Outlook of Chinese Pulses Industry in 2007/2008 • Secondly, with the rise of Chinese labor cost, people tend to transfer processing facilities to origins in order to lower the cost. And more and more people prefer a combination of big facilities and hand sorting, when processing products.
PAKISTAN – KEY INDICATORS • Population: 160 Million peoples. • Around 42% of Pakistan labor force is in agricultural sector • Projected Total Consumption of Pulses in 2007: 11,65,000 MTS (1.16 M)approx. • Projected Total Productions of Pulses in 2007: 9,07,000 MTS (0.907 M) approx. • Projected Shortage (to be covered by Import): 2,58,000 MTS (0.258 M) approx.
Pakistani Public Consumption Preferences With Aggregate Annual consumption of around 11,65,000 MT of Pulses the following are local consumer preferences: • Desi Chickpeas -Whole, Splitted (Dall) and Powder (Besan) • Green Mung- Whole & Splits. • Lentils- Whole & Splits. • Kabuli Chickpeas- Whole (mostly), Powder (if cheap) or splitted if Desi Chickpeas are Expensive, as smaller size Kabuli compare with Desi Chickpeas.
Pakistani Public Consumption Preferences • Black Matpe- Whole & Splits. • Red Kidney Beans- Whole Mostly consumed in Upcountry & Afghanistan • Yellow and / or Dun Peas- Whole and split, Initially it was used as replacement for Desi Chickpeas but now they have created their own parallel market.
Estimates of SHORTAGE & SURPLUS of PULSES in 2007
Estimates of SURPLUS & SHORTAGES of PULSES in 2007
TradingPartners • Black Matpe: its been supplied mainly from Myanmar with little quantity from Thailand. • Kidney Beans: China being the preferred Supplier with Ethiopia and Myanmar in case of short Chinese crops. • Yellow Peas/ Dun Peas: Canada (mostly) with some quantities from France and Ukraine. Dun Peas are imported from Australia.
UK: • Branston baked beans now brainy with omega-3 • Premier Foods has given canned baked beans a makeover and enhanced their healthy profile by adding omega-3 fatty acids • Biotech giant Monsanto is to develop new versions of its reduced trans-fat Vistive soybean with the aim of improving shelf life and flavor of soy oil, lowering saturated fat content and enhancing the bean with Omega-3
"INTERPRETATION: My dream is to sell beans“ "Interpretation: My confidence in the markets has always been difficult ( that is why I use brokers)“ "BEAUTIFUL BLACK BEANS, BLACK BEANS“ "My beans have more value than all my neighbours.." (thinking 'Canada',China et al!!) "Antioxidants, energy, fuel, my sweet bean emissions supercede them “ "I really need the world to sense it, my beans all feel it“ "Michigan beans aid health forever, and are worth much more" "grow some more, eat some more , pay me more"
Planet Bean make it count MESSAGE TO WORLD - EAT PULSES , EAT BEANS - GET YOU PROTEIN CHARGE FROM A GREEN SOURCE!!