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French labour markets and occupations in 2015

French labour markets and occupations in 2015. How might the changing labour market transform higher education ? Expert meeting OCDE/CERI 12-13 feb. 2007. Marc-Antoine ESTRADE Occupations and Qualifications Foresight Centre d’Analyse Stratégique.

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French labour markets and occupations in 2015

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  1. French labour markets and occupations in 2015 How might the changing labour market transform higher education ? Expert meeting OCDE/CERI 12-13 feb. 2007 Marc-Antoine ESTRADE Occupations and Qualifications Foresight Centre d’Analyse Stratégique

  2. The end of the growth of the working population

  3. Vacant positions will be important for professionals • administrative professionals on functions of expertise • commercial professionals in all the sectors • computer professionals, even if the rhythm of growth will not reach the same level as at the end of the 90s • teachers, mainly through replacements of posts

  4. Vacant positions will be also important for jobs weakly qualified in the personal services • Nursery assistants and the home helps • Domestic and offices helpers and cleaners, in the public sector as in the private.

  5. In the manufacturing sectors, total employment will decline, but qualified positions will develop • The manufacturing sector will continue to recruit on the qualified posts • The big manufacturing companies will develop the related professions (marketing, R*D).

  6. Changes in labour markets will also depend on choices of work organisation and on profiles of recruitment • versatile employees to increase the ability to react of the company… but recruitments will be on very restrictive criteria • tasks rationalized to increase productivity gains, but offering little career prospects for the less skilled jobs

  7. Mobilities in the labour market • They will differ depending on occupation, level of qualification, gender and age • They will depend on practices of recruitment and on management of the human resources by companies • They could remain very unegalitarian, chosen and awarding for the most qualified, undergone for the others

  8. Disparities will raise for youth unemployment

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