The Success Stories and its Limits: The Concrete Case Studies (3 lectures)

1. The Success Stories and its Limits: The Concrete Case Studies (3 lectures) • - Russia/Soviet Union • - Latin America in the Era of Catching Up Industrialisation • - East Asian Miracle: The Rise of the New Industrial Pole

2. Goals – maintenance of military-political power, ability to defensive and offensive war Means – modernisation of army & the state governance, selective borrowings of the advanced technolo-gies and scientific accomplishments important for militarisation The empire model of modernisation

3. The Rise of Dualism in Russia Exploitation of country-side Army & military industry resources Conservation of backwardness as the main obstacle to further modernisation

4. Alexander Pushkinon the internal central-peripheral structure of Russia • “Whatever for caprice of spending • ingenious London has been sending • across the Baltic in exchange • for wood and tallow; all the range • of useful objects that the curious • Parisian taste invents for one – • for friends of languor, or of fun, • or for the modishly luxurious – • all this, at eighteen years of age • adorned the sanctum of our sage.”(Eugene Onegin)

5. GDP per capita in some countries of Latin America and Europe (including Russia), 1870-1938

6. For comparison of Uruguay with Denmark • Dieter Sengaas. The European Experience: A Historical Critique of Development Theory. Leamington Spa, Dover (N.H.): Berg Publishers, 1985 (1-st published in Frankfurt-am-Main, 1982, in German)

7. The ratio of some Latin American and European countries’ (including Russia/USSR) GDP per capita to the world average, 1929-1970

8. Limits of Import Substitution Industrialisation to itself (Latin America) • 1) A shortage of material, financial, and human resources; • 2) Conservation of the internal central-peripheral structure; • 3) Necessity to enlarge importation of capital goods and to maintain the traditional export; • 4) Impossibility to redistribute national income in extending degree

10. Brazil – dynamics of GDP (1965-1980) and the public external debt (1965-1975)

11. Brazil – skyrocketing growth of the external debt, 1978 – 1980 – 1985, billions US$

12. The first-tier ‘tigers’ - Hong Kong - Singapore - Taiwan - South Korea The second-tier ‘tigers’ - Malaysia - Thailand - Indonesia (‘semi-tiger’) - The Philippines (‘under-tiger’) Two generations of ‘tigers’

13. GDP p/c (US$ of 1990 on PPP) – 1960-1970-1980-1990

14. GDP p/c (US$ of 1990 on PPP) – 1960-1970-1980-1990

15. Flying Geese Model • K. Akamatsu.A Historical Pattern of Economic Growth in Developing Countries. – The Developing Economies, vol. 1, N 1, March – August 1962. • P. Korhonen. The Theory of the Flying Geese Pattern of Development and Its Interpretations. –Journal of Peace Research, vol. 31, N 1, 1994. • M. Tateishi. Southeast Asian Flying Geese? – In: Southeast Asia’s Misunderstood Miracle: Industrial Policy and Economic Development in Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia. Ed. by K. S. Jomo. Boulder (Col.), Oxford: Westview Press, 1997. • UNCTAD. Trade and Development Report 1996. N.Y., Geneva: UN, 1996, pp. 75-81.

16. The gross internal investments in fixed capital, aspercentage of GDP, in East/Southeast AsianNewly IndustrialisingCountries, 1970-1995

17. The gross internal investments in fixed capital, as percentage of GDP, in East/Southeast Asian Newly Industrialising Countries, 1970-1975-1980-1985-1990-1995

18. The Developmental State • The Developmental State. Ed. by Meredith Woo-Cumings. Ithaca – London: Cornell University Press, 1999 • Ha-Joon Chang. The East Asian Development Experience: The Miracle, the Crisis and the Future. London – New York: Zed Books, 2006

19. The colonial heritage and development