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UNU-WIDER

UNU-WIDER. Southern Engines of Growth A UNU-WIDER Project Guanghua Wan and Amelia Santos. Why This Project?. Rapid growth of CIBS will alter the global balance of power => possible conflicts, international governance and political economy issues

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UNU-WIDER

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  1. UNU-WIDER Southern Engines of Growth A UNU-WIDER Project Guanghua Wan and Amelia Santos

  2. Why This Project? • Rapid growth of CIBS will alter the global balance of power => possible conflicts, international governance and political economy issues • CIBS have had different political and economic settings as well as different reform/growth strategies => case for comparative studies drawing lessons/experience for each other • Globalization of CIBS has implications (positive and negative) for developed and LDCs – what at stakes for individual countries (gains and losses, SR and LR, direct and indirect) • What happens if CIBS particularly China suffer setback? • Tremendous publicity on CIBS, but with insufficient analytical evidences • Lack of systematic studies? (IDS, OECD, IADB, ADB...) WIDER will utilize its extensive research network to conduct a Systematic and Analytical Project

  3. Southern Engines of Growth Research themes General studies • Historical (socioeconomic and political) background and development prospects of CIBS, including potential setbacks in China and/or policy reversals in CIBS; • Unhappy stories and happy stories • Business cycles and cross-boarder risk transmission Commodity and Services Trade –competitive and complementary relationships • New export and import opportunities • Competition and complemetarity of trade growth • Volatility in commodity prices: short and long run perspectives UNU-WIDER

  4. Southern Engines of Growth UNU-WIDER Financial Resource Flows and Capital Markets • CIBS as sources and recipients of foreign investments • Volatility of financial flows: FDI, Portfolios, etc. • Savings rate differences and implications for growth • Exchange rate regimes and adjustments • Balance of payments and capital account liberalization Political Economy and International Governance • Opportunities, challenges and threats of CIBS growth • Institutions and growth • Energy and geopolitics

  5. Southern Engines of Growth UNU-WIDER Project activities

  6. Contributions to the Project Welcome • Coming to project meetings with full funding by WIDER • Write papers for the project with a fee paid by WIDER • Inputs into our project management • Recommendations and suggestions

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