Understanding the Demographic Hurdles to Revitalize Saint Louis

1. Understanding the Demographic Hurdles to Revitalize Saint Louis J.S. Onésimo Sandoval Department of Sociology and Anthropology Saint Louis University jsandov3@slu.edu

2. Major Points • Nearing the end of population loss • Out-migration outpaces internal population momentum • Saint Louis is ageing • Dueling tension of population change

3. Demographic hurdles

4. Migration Demographic Dividends Demographic Dividends • Demography Hurdles • Births • Deaths

5. Nearing the end of population loss

6. Population Trends for Saint Louis

7. Percent Change from 2000 to 2010

8. Population Change from 2000 to 2010

9. The end of the population decline is near

10. Out-Migration outpaces Internal Population Momentum

11. Saint Louis should have grown by 5% (PMF)

12. Saint Louis has a migration problem(Migration Factor Scores 2005 to 2010)

13. Source: Figure computed by Sandoval, J.S. Onésimo. U.S Census Data

14. Source: Figure computed by Sandoval, J.S. Onésimo. U.S Census Data

15. Saint Louis is Ageing

21. Dueling tension of Population Change

22. There was a loss of 42,683 residents from 2000 to 2010 • There was a gain of 13,777 residents from 2000 to 2010 • This resulted in a net decline of 28,906 residents from 2000 to 2010

23. Demographic transitions for declining neighborhoods

24. Demographic transitions for growing neighborhoods

25. Black White

26. There was a loss of 11,060 residents from 2000 to 2010 • There was a gain of 9,666 residents from 2000 to 2010

27. Demographic transitions for spatially declining neighborhoods

28. Demographic transitions for spatially growing neighborhoods

29. Summary • Nearing the end of population loss • Out-migration outpaces internal population momentum • Saint Louis is ageing • Dueling tension of population change