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Low Cost Carrier MRO Aviation Week‘s MRO

Low Cost Carrier MRO Aviation Week‘s MRO. Wolfgang Kurth 19. October 2005. LCC Market Share in Europe LCCs and the Future of the Business Model Drivers of the Business Model LCCs and MROs Conclusion. Agenda. PIONEER STAGE. TRANSITION. RAPID GROWTH STAGE. TRANSITION. MATURE STAGE.

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Low Cost Carrier MRO Aviation Week‘s MRO

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  1. Low Cost Carrier MROAviation Week‘s MRO Wolfgang Kurth 19. October 2005

  2. LCC Market Share in Europe LCCs and the Future of the Business Model Drivers of the Business Model LCCs and MROs Conclusion Agenda

  3. PIONEERSTAGE TRANSITION RAPID GROWTH STAGE TRANSITION MATURE STAGE U.S. and Europe VOLUME/GDP GDP Latin America Middle East Asia Volume Africa TIME Business Environment

  4. Low Fares Trigger Demand For what reason would you fly more often? 50% 40% 41% 30% 20% 17% 10% 11% 11% 8% 8% 6% 0% upgrades schedule safety low fares more safety others ground FFP´s board Source: IATA Online Survey 2003

  5. Optimistic 30% Number of passengers of Ryanair & easyJet at basis of announced capacities 19% 15% Pessimistic Market potential for European LCCs Prediction for the European Low Cost Market 2001E–2009F Market potential of the GermanLow Cost Segment2001E–2009F PAX(m) Estimation formed by the use of US market share & travel frequency to the German population PAX(m) 1Low case: Number of no-frills journeys in Europe reach current UK / Ireland level (0.25 trips / capita) over 8 years (number of passengers = 72MM) 2 High case: Number of no-frills journeys in Europe reach the same level as currently in the U.S. (0.5 trips / capita) over 8 years (number of passengers = 195MM) Source: Analyst Reports, Monitor Analysis

  6. Growth Rates and Market Shares Europe: annual growth rate p.a. for LCCs, passenger in mio,

  7. Market Share of European LCCs

  8. LCC Market Shares by Country

  9. LCC routes 2001 Caption: Ryanair easyjet Volareweb bmi Baby Hapag-Lloyd Express Germanwings Sterling Skyeurope jet2

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