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Making Ends Meet:

Making Ends Meet:. Modeling Biodiversity Changes in Northern Uganda . Daniela Miteva Duke University. Main research questions. Where are the changes in the landscape likely to occur? How would subsistence modes change as a result of the changes in the forest resources?

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Making Ends Meet:

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  1. Making Ends Meet: Modeling Biodiversity Changes in Northern Uganda Daniela Miteva Duke University

  2. Main research questions Where are the changes in the landscape likely to occur? How would subsistence modes change as a result of the changes in the forest resources? What factors are likely to contribute to the sustainable development of the area?

  3. Social Drivers Household Activities Environmental Impact Area of the natural habitat • Market Factors: • Prices • Wage rates • Carbon projects Agricultural Encroachment Quality of the natural habitat Fuelwood and Charcoal Production Tastes • Changes in the Social System • Unclear & insecure property rights • Availability of formal & informal institutions Monocultures Connectivity of habitat patches

  4. General Approach • Household Production Models • Spatially-explicit dynamic simulation

  5. Questions?

  6. Additional Slides

  7. Study Area

  8. Bibliography • D. Benjamin (1992), 'Household Composition, Labor Markets, and Labor Demand: Testing for Separation in Agricultural Household Models', Econometrica 60(2): 287-322. • R. A. Bluffstone (1995), 'The Effect of Labor Market Performance on Deforestation in Developing Countries under Open Access: An Example from Rural Nepal', Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 29(1): 42-63. • I. Bjørkhaug, M. Bøås, A. Hatløy and K. M. Jennings (2007), 'Returning to Uncertainty? Addressing Vulnerabilities in Northern Uganda', in: Office of the Prime Minister and UNDP. • P. A. Cooke (1998), 'The effect of environmental good scarcity on own-farm labor allocation: the case of agricultural households in rural Nepal', Environment and Development Economics 3(04): 443-469. • A. Deaton (1997). ‘The Analysis of Household Surveys: A Microeconometric Approach to Development Policy’. John Hopkins University Press: Baltimore, MarylandK. Deininger, Klaus and G. Feder (2001). ‘Land institutions and land markets’, Policy Research Working Paper Series. Available at: http://ideas.repec.org/p/wbk/wbrwps/2014.html • M. Fisher, G. E. Shively and S. Buccola (2005), 'Activity Choice, Labor Allocation, and Forest Use in Malawi', Land Economics 81(4): 503-517. • A. d. Janvry, M. Fafchamps and E. Sadoulet (1991), 'Peasant Household Behaviour with Missing Markets: Some Paradoxes Explained', The Economic Journal 101(409): 1400-1417. • D. Kaimowitz & A. Angelsen (1997). ‘Economic models of tropical deforestation: a review’ Available at: http://www.cifor.cgiar.org/Knowledge/Publications/Detail?pid=341 • J. Namaalwa, P. L. Sankhayan and O. Hofstad (2007), 'A dynamic bio-economic model for analyzing deforestation and degradation: An application to woodlands in Uganda', Forest Policy and Economics 9(5): 479-495. • B. Provencher (1995), 'Structural Estimation of the Stochastic Dynamic Decision Problems of Resource Users: An Application to the Timber Harvest Decision', Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 29(3): 321-338. • P. L. Sankhayan and O. Hofstad (2001), 'A village-level economic model of land clearing, grazing, and wood harvesting for sub-Saharan Africa: with a case study in southern Senegal', Ecological Economics 38(3): 423-440. • G. Sethi, C. Costello, A. Fisher, M. Hanemann and L. Karp (2005), 'Fishery management under multiple uncertainty', Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 50(2): 300-318. • I. Singh, L. Squire and J. Strauss (1986), 'A Survey of Agricultural Household Models: Recent Findings and Policy Implications', World Bank Econ Rev 1(1): 149-179. • C. Udry (1996), 'Gender, Agricultural Production, and the Theory of the Household', The Journal of Political Economy 104(5): 1010-1046. • I. Ternström (2001), “Cooperation and Conflict in Common Pools”. Available at http://swopec.hhs.se/hastef/papers/hastef0428.pdf • J. D. Unruh (2002), 'Postwar Resource Tenure Issues in the Settlement of Sudan's Dislocated Population', Northeast African Studies 9(1): 1-10.

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