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Technology Enablers for Wireless Applications. The Telecom Perspective Richard Sherman, PE Director – Network Solutions. Decade of Technology Disruptions A huge potential. BUSD. e-commerce. Service Innovation. Distance learning. Security. Interactivity. VPN. Operator service revenues.
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Technology Enablers for Wireless Applications The Telecom Perspective Richard Sherman, PE Director – Network Solutions
Decade of Technology Disruptions A huge potential BUSD e-commerce Service Innovation Distance learning Security Interactivity VPN Operatorservice revenues File Storing and sharing Messaging Broadband Gaming Existing forecast IPTV VoIP 1000 Time 2000
Zooming In – Internet and Mobile Global Mobile Leaders Silicon Valley Internet Leaders Key ingredients of Successful Mobile Broadband
Mobile communicationGSM enables communication for all GSM Worldwide Penetration GSM is THE global stand of Mobile Communication
3000 2500 2000 Subscriptions (million) 1500 1000 500 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Mobile Broadband Fixed Broadband Fixed Telephony Fixed Mobile Strong mobile broadband growth Doing for broadband what Ericsson did for telephony Broadband subscription forecast Mobile Communication Source: Ovum RHK, Strategy Analytics & Internal Ericsson Mobile Broadband includes: CDMA2000 EV-DO, HSPA, LTE, Mobile WiMAX, Other Fixed broadband includes: DSL, FTTx, Cable modem, Enterprise leased lines and Wireless Broadband Internet is going mobile
805 HSPA enabled devices……with 228 supporting 7.2 Mbps peak or higher • 392 HSPA phones, media players, camera • 120 PC data cards (PC cards/embedded modules/chipsets) • 220 notebooks and modems • 73 Wireless routers Source: GSA, Sept 2008 HSPA devices have doubled in less than 11 months
Strong growth in data trafficWCDMA & HSPA world average Relative Network Load 5 Data 4 3 Voice 2 1 Jan07 Feb07 Mar07 Apr07 May07 June07 July07 Aug07 Sep07 Oct07 Nov07 Dec07 Source: Ericsson Data outgrows voice traffic
- Already here • Bundled offerings with • notebook and • mobile broadband • - Netbooks • Starts to happen now • Will be sold like a mobile • phone Consumer electronics goes mobile Three waves of embedding mobile broadband Thenotebook The consumer PC Consumer devices - MIDs, navigation, gaming, cameras, car entertainment - Early stages yet - Start to see volumes 2009 2008 the tipping point – going from niche to mass market
Any Service From gaming to sports and live entertainment From high secure data communication to video chats
Any Device From the mobile to the multimedia PC From the gaming console to the HDTV
Anywhere From the big cities to the countryside From the office desk to the great outdoors
First Wireless Applications in PC’s Increasing Mobile Broadband Module Integration in PC’s
Mobile broadband speed evolution LTE Evolution LTE Target HSPA Evolution 1 Gbps HSPA ~150 Mbps 3G 28/42 Mbps 7/14 Mbps 3.6 Mbps Peak rate 384 kbps 2009 2013 2008/2009 2002 2005 2007 HSDPA is the evolution for the future
Radio evolution pathAlignment for WCDMA/HSPA and CDMA AT&T T-MobileDoCoMo Vodafone Telstra TeliaSonera China Mobile Others.... GSM Track (3GPP) GSM HSPA LTEFDD and TDD LTEFDD and TDD LTEFDD and TDD LTEFDD and TDD LTEFDD and TDD LTEFDD and TDD HSPA GSM WCDMA CDMA Track (3GPP2) Verizon China Telecom /”Unicom” CDMA One EVDO Rev A WiMax Track (IEEE) Clearwire Fixed WiMAX Mobile WiMAX 2001 2005 2008 2010 LTE – smooth evolution to next generation
Bitrates and technologiesOFDMA does not mean 4G Bitrate (Mbps) >100 ”4G” 3G <100 FDD and TDD LTE TDD FDD HSPA WiMAX 16e EVDO Technology Today 2010 4G is defined as data rates over 100 Mbps
Mobile Communication Internet Technology & Ecosystem Mobile Broadband and Open Applications US is strong in • Applications, Devices, Developers … USA has the Opportunity to leapfrog ahead with LTE
1 2 3 Summary The US continues to drive the Mobile Broadband evolution (700MHz auction is 1st in the world) The growth and pervasiveness of Mobile Broadband will create new markets for applications and services Global companies are focused on the US market to help create a renewed base for knowledge companies