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What is a Long Term Implementation Plan Used for?. Changed Fire Environment:. Drought/fuels buildup/climate change—longer fire seasons Long duration fires need a long duration plan Worth investment up front to consider what the options may be for tactics
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Changed Fire Environment: • Drought/fuels buildup/climate change—longer fire seasons • Long duration fires need a long duration plan • Worth investment up front to consider what the options may be for tactics • Allows for big picture approach especially when traditional tactics and strategy to fire may be ineffective • Resource competition at peak periods/prioritize actions
Ponderosa Pine Douglas-fir Alpine Fir Whitebark Pine Northern Rockies Fire Dynamics Red lines indicate historical averages, blue lines indicate 2007 situations
Management Efficiencies Concept: • Preplanned actions with estimated costs • Allows for choices/tradeoffs/analysis of various options in advance of implementation • Identify where the most effective places to meet objectives • Choose the strategy and tactics that have a high probability for success • Can be used to help set principles for cost share agreements • Effective use and mobility of resources • Improved cost management strategy
Values to Be Protected: • Identify values to protect and put into adocument • Include all potentially affected jurisdictions and entities • Identify those opportunities to meet everyone’s objectives • Effective use of resources • Quantify, assess, and determine the likelihood of fire impacts
Operational Actions to Mitigate Risk: • Plan for measures to adequately mitigate the risk • Response be commensurate with the values to protect • Develop timeline for implementation in advance of the fire • Utilize decision support tools to inform tactical actions • Plan for contingencies • Monitor actions and fire behavior and adjust actions to meet objectives • Validate continuously the risk assessment • Validate that proposed actions are still effective prior to implementation • The right resource at the right place and the righttime
Supporting the Planning and Documentation Effort: • Identifies the need to communicate and coordinate with all affected parties—cooperators, partners, public • WFSA—planned actions either support existing WFSA or identify the need to revise • The LTIP should correlate to the selected alternative • Delegation of authorities should include planning and implementation expectations of the LTIP • Provides an opportunity to review overall cost of plan implementation
Range of Events During Implementation of NR AMR Strategy Ignition Initial Attack Wildland Fire Use IAP WFIP WFSA Extended Attack Long-Term Implementation Plan Large Fire Long-Duration Fire Control BAER
Supporting the Planning and Documentation Effort (cont.): • IAP—is the daily implementation of the LTIP • 209s—documents and identifies critical resource needs and timeframes • Communication of needs with GACC/MAC/AC etc. • Communication tool for the public, discussion of long term impacts • Region 1 USFS uses LTIP in lieu of a Regional Forester’s Rep
Daily Fire Costs Showing Irregular Trend Compared to Historic Trends