230 likes | 784 Views
SURROGATE SAFETY ASSESSMENT MODEL (SSAM) Prepared by: Joe Bared, FHWA. Rear-end Conflict Lines. Conflict Lines. Conflict Points. Event Descriptions at Intersections. Intersection box. α. B. A. Calculate corresponding SSAM measures.
E N D
SURROGATE SAFETY ASSESSMENT MODEL(SSAM)Prepared by: Joe Bared, FHWA
Rear-end Conflict Lines Conflict Lines Conflict Points Event Descriptions at Intersections Intersection box
α B A Calculate corresponding SSAM measures • Calculate the angle of the headings of the two vehicles and use this data to determine the conflict type: • if angleα >= 45 degree, then it is a crossing conflict; • If α <= 2 degree, then it is a rear-end conflict; • else, it is a lane change conflict. • Calculate the angle of the headings of the two vehicles and use this data to determine the conflict type: • if angleα > 85 degree, crossing conflict; • If α < 30 degree rear-endconflict; • else, it is a lane change conflict. Adding configurable angle thresholds in SSAM version 2
Surrogate Measures • Minimum Time To Collision (TTC) • Minimum Post-Encroachment Time (PET) • Initial Deceleration Rate (DR) • Maximum speed (MaxS) • Maximum relative speed difference (DeltaS) • Location of the conflict event (CLSP, CLEP) • Maximum “post collision” DeltaV (MaxDeltaV)
Field Validation of 83 Signalized Intersections Relating crashes to conflicts
Safety Ranking of Total Incidents • The Spearman rank-correlation coefficient between hourly conflicts frequency and annual crash frequency is a significant 0.46
Safety Ranking Incident Type • The Spearman rank-correlation coefficient for rear-end conflicts/collisions is a significant 0.47 • The Spearman rank-correlation coefficient for sideswipe conflicts/collisions is a significant 0.47
TTC <=0.5 s TTC <=1.0 s TTC <=1.5 s Conflicts: Case 1 High-speed conflicts for ten simulation runs - no crashes, conflicts at Vmax >= 10 ft/s Same as the previous slide, but with time-to-collision (TTC) composition CFI 609 total Conventional 573 total
Conflicts: Case 1 T-Test: Significance of difference of CFI statistics from the conventional intersection statistics with 95% confidence interval, no crashes, conflicts of VMAX >= 10ft/s