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Research to Ops Moving Mature Science into the NAS

Research to Ops Moving Mature Science into the NAS. NWS Aviation Weather Workshop Tom MacPhail April 15, 2010. Outline. What does “operational” mean? What is Research-to-Operations (RTO)? Why is an RTO process necessary? What’s coming out of the RTO pipeline? RTO Challenges.

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Research to Ops Moving Mature Science into the NAS

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  1. Research to OpsMoving Mature Science into the NAS NWS Aviation Weather Workshop Tom MacPhail April 15, 2010

  2. Outline What does “operational” mean? What is Research-to-Operations (RTO)? Why is an RTO process necessary? What’s coming out of the RTO pipeline? RTO Challenges

  3. What Does “Operational” Mean? A sustainable solution satisfying a user’s mission needs and requirements1, produced as required2, obtained through appropriate communications channels from an appropriate source, and displayed or integrated in an appropriate manner. 1 Satisfying user needs and requirements includes human performance factors, safety, and training. 2 Produced as required includes maintenance and logistics support, reliability, and security to meet functional and performance requirements.

  4. What is RTO? A process for managing the movement of mature weather research into operational use in the NAS Creates a programmatic pathway that is coordinated amongst users, stakeholders, producers and the R&D community Identifies supporting resource needs and infrastructure so implementation happens as planned Establishes a management structure for executive-level involvement so policy/resource issues can be addressed Ensures the FAA’s Safety Management System assesses and mitigates risks from any proposed NAS change Provides validation of the “goodness” of a solution

  5. Research & Development RTO NextGen Requirement Operational Capability Research Management Plan EB Decision #1 Technical Review Panel EB Decision #2 OA Exit EB Decision #3 Initial RMP Final RMP OA Reports Solution Evaluation Capability Review Solution Development Solution Deployment NWEC Conceptual Capability Description Publication Updates + Training Operational Assessment Roadmap Linkage to: Integration Tests Performance Tests Program Risk Management Delivery Mission Needs Statement Operational Production Solution Description Document Effectiveness Tests Suitability Tests Functional and Performance Objectives Final NWEC Report to Acquisition Technical Direction & Schedule Technical Review Enterprise Architecture & Functional Analysis Safety Risk Management Assessment Investment Analysis/Business Case Activities

  6. NWEC Operational Assessment Activities NWEC Operational Assessment n Integrationn Effectivenessn Performancen Suitabilityn n = number of evaluations Others AWT

  7. OA Completion • Results produce artifacts for technical/performance reporting to the AMS or NOAA’s PPBES • Successful completion validates that a proposed solution meets established performance criteria and is ready for NAS deployment • Evaluation reports are used by the RTO Executive Board to support approval for operational production and deployment within the NAS

  8. RTO Steering Group Executive Board RTO Coordinator AffiliatedProcess Safety Risk Management SOLUTION TRANSITION TEAMS Program Risk Management Requirements Software Mgmt TURB C&V SRM CONVECTIVE STORM Tech Review Panel IFI Others? Solution Users Solution Producers Investment Decisions RTO Governance AMS or Host Agency Procurement NAS Operational Use

  9. Why is an RTO Process Necessary? R&D pushes technical boundaries and explores new scientific approaches but needs a “nudge” to stop at critical points to deliver an operationally-ready solution FAA spends millions of dollars on aviation weather research expecting a pay off with incremental improvement in NAS safety and efficiency The NAS is complex—even a simple change requires massive coordination inside and outside the government to account for resource tails, training, infrastructure, communications, safety, security, etc. Safety is paramount and change always represents inherent risk. New capabilities are always introduced conservatively using “proof” that a change is operationally beneficial, compatible, maintainable and safe Lacking a “watchdog” process, even the best ideas take several years or more to find their way to the NAS. RTO provides management oversight of R&D with a goal of meeting NextGen requirements more quickly and efficiently

  10. RTO Near-term Deliverables GTG2 on operational ADDS recently FIP Severity on operational ADDS soon GTG3 ready by late 2010 CoSPA 1.0 and LCH demos this summer NCVa by 2011

  11. RTO Challenges Replacing “legacy” products which are shown to under-perform new capabilities Regulatory processes lag behind capabilities Humans have a vested interest in status quo Performance is often hard to define RTO end point; at the delivery of bits to the cube or when translated and integrated into decision support tools? Define better? QA tools needed that define “better” in scientific and operational terms

  12. QUESTIONS?

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