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Workshop on Strategy for Providing Atmospheric Information

National Weather Service Outlook for Future Collection and Distribution Systems. Workshop on Strategy for Providing Atmospheric Information. Dr. Jack Hayes NWS/Office of Science & Technology December 3, 2001. Outline. Collection and Dissemination of Information

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Workshop on Strategy for Providing Atmospheric Information

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  1. National Weather Service Outlook for Future Collection and Distribution Systems Workshop on Strategy for Providing Atmospheric Information Dr. Jack Hayes NWS/Office of Science & Technology December 3, 2001

  2. Outline • Collection and Dissemination of Information • Science and Technology Planning • Future Collection and Dissemination Systems • Summary

  3. Collection and Dissemination of InformationRole Observations & Other Data International Organizations NWS Commercial Services and Media Federal and State Agencies Public

  4. Radar Radiosonde Surface COOP NESDIS Satellite and DCP River Gauges Buoys and Marine Observations Aircraft Reports Collection and Dissemination of InformationCollection Systems

  5. NWR NWWS SBN/NOAAPORT Internet EMWIN FOS GMDSS GTS LDAD ISCS Interagency Connections Gateway AWIPS Collection and Dissemination of InformationDissemination Systems

  6. Collection and Dissemination of Information Architecture Other Agencies Commercial NESDIS Satellite Specialized GOES Satellite Legend: Customers EMWIN EMWIN NOAAPORT • Commercial Weather Services • Research Institutions (> 1 min) NWWS • FAA, etc. FOS International ISCS Designated SBN/NOAAPORT • GOES Obs Local • NCEP Product Suite Customers Telecommunications Operations Center NCEP NWWS Media & Gateway Other (10 sec) LDAD Customers NCF WAN Radar Wx Data Gov’t Server Servers Internet-Based Field Dissemination Offices GTS WSR-88D NWR Public

  7. Collection and Dissemination of InformationCurrent Product Volume Total Volume / Day: 1148 GB

  8. Science and Technology Planning • Users Continue to Have Growing Needs • Science and Technology Continues to Advance How Will NWS Respond and Continue to Improve?

  9. Science and Technology Planning Objectives • Establish S&T Direction for Future NWS • Respond to Operational Product and Service Needs • Identify Science and Technology Opportunities • Prioritize Investments • Support Disciplined and Streamlined Technology Insertion • Foster Partnering

  10. Science and Technology Planning Vision NWS provides world’s most accurate and highest quality products and information. • Example Warning Lead Times • 20002025 • Tornadoes 12 mins 60 mins • Thunderstorms 18 mins 4 hours • Flash Floods 43 mins 4 hours • Winter Storms 9 hours 5 days

  11. Science and Technology Planning Framework • NWS Today: • Continuous refreshment of the Modernized NWS. • NWS Next: • What NWS will evolve to by 2010. • NWS After Next: • NWS of 20 or more years from now. (from Dorman Report, 99)

  12. Science and Technology PlanningLinking Advances to Results Advances • Observations • Data Assimilation • Numerical Prediction • Computing Capability • Dissemination Methods • Forecaster Techniques Results Improved Hurricane Track, Intensity and Precipitation Forecasts Improved Tornado and Flash Flood Forecasts Improved Aviation, Fire, and Marine Forecasts Improved Flood and River Predictions Improved Seasonal Climate Forecasts for Energy, Agriculture, Etc.

  13. Future Collection and Dissemination Systems Fundamental Environmental DataBase: • Comprehensive • Observations • Analysis • Forecasts • Uncertainty Information • Products and information (outlooks, watches, & warnings) • Digital • Seamless • Easily Accessible

  14. Future Collection and Dissemination Systems Assumptions and Key Drivers Increase in: • Network Complexity • Data Volume and Product Count • Cost of Comm Infrastructure Management • Complexity of MetaData

  15. Future Collection and Dissemination SystemsAreas of Data Growth • NCEP Hi-Res Model Output (Eta, WRF) 22Km -> 12Km -> 4Km • ORPG/ORDA Deployment (FAA TDWR, Dual Polarization) 4 -> 8 bit, 1.0Km -> 0.25Km resolution • NWS INTERNET Data Volume Growing at 50% every 6 months • Satellite (GIFTS, NPOESS and GOES R+) More channels; higher resolution; more products • National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) Text Forecasts -> Grids • COOP and ASOS Hi-Res Observations • Daily and Hourly -> 1 and 5 minute resolution

  16. Future Collection and Dissemination Systems Building Network Flexibility • Communication and Product Format Standards • Communication Advances • “Threshold” Data Needs • Data Reduction Techniques

  17. Future Collection and Dissemination Systems Dissemination Solutions

  18. Future Collection and Dissemination Systems Data Access and Visualization Solutions

  19. Summary • NWS Collects and Disseminates Data, in Variety of Ways. • Amount and Demand for Information is Growing Rapidly. • NWS will Build More Collection and Dissemination Systems with partners that are: - Integrated - Flexible - Seemless - Information Based

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