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Influence of the Indian Ocean Warm Pool Variability on the Spring Precipitation in China

Influence of the Indian Ocean Warm Pool Variability on the Spring Precipitation in China. 杨宇星 黄菲 中国海洋大学. Contents. 1.Introduction. 2.Data and methodology. 3.Analysis and discussion. 4.Summary. 1.Introduction.

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Influence of the Indian Ocean Warm Pool Variability on the Spring Precipitation in China

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  1. Influence of the Indian Ocean Warm Pool Variability on the Spring Precipitation in China 杨宇星 黄菲 中国海洋大学

  2. Contents 1.Introduction 2.Data and methodology 3.Analysis and discussion 4.Summary

  3. 1.Introduction • The present study of influence of warm pool on precipitation focuses on summer precipitation: Huang and Sun(1994),Weng et al(1996), Li and Zhou(1999), Chen et al(2003),Zhang et al(2003), Jian et al(2004). • About spring rainfall, Li et al (1998,2000) studied the relationship between north Pacific SST and spring precipitation. we are interested in spring precipitation. And there are not many papers to discuss the relationship between the warm pool and spring precipitation directly.

  4. 2.Data and methodology • SST from SODA ,1°*1°,1951~1998 • SKT from NCEP/NCAR , 2.5°*2.5°,1951~1998 • Wind field data, Specific humidity, geopotential high field data from NCEP/NCAR, 2.5°*2.5°,1951~1998 • The rainfall data of 160 stations from National Meteorological Center of China The main study methods include correlation analysis, composite analysis and etc.

  5. 3. Analysis and discussion

  6. Warm Pool (28.5℃) （August—red，March—blue，mean—green）

  7. Influence of the IOWP variability on spring precipitation over China Fig. Distributions of correlation between the IOWP area index in spring and spring precipitation, respectively. The dots indicate positive coefficients, dark dots are over 95% confidence level; the triangles indicate negative coefficients, dark triangles are over 95% confidence level.

  8. Warm events：1958，1964，1969，1970，1983，1987，1988，1991，1998(spring) Cold events：1951，1955，1956，1965，1971，1972，1974，1975，1976 (spring) The difference between the standardized spring rainfall anomaly composite for the spring IOWP warm events and that for the cold events (warm minus cold events). Shaded areas represent the confidence levels over 95%. Warm events (cold events): the rainfall in the southwest of China becomes less (more);in the east and north, more (less)

  9. 3.1 Influence of the IOWP variability on spring transport of moist and warm air vapor in China g/kgm/s The climate averaged transport of the moisture flux (u*q，v*q, vectors) in low levels (1000-850hpa) and divergence field (contours) in spring, the arrowheads indicate the two transport paths, the contour values are 10000 times of divergence

  10. The partial negative correlation (remove the linear influence of nino3) between the IOWP and the wind field(1000-850hPa), the differences of the moisture flux (u*q，v*q, vectors) and its divergence field (contours) in spring between the IOWP cold events and warm events (cold minus warm).

  11. 3.1.1 Influence of the contrast between the land and sea in IOWP area variability on vapor transport The average positions of the spring IOWP. Thick line represents the 28.5C isotherm in the cold years, and thin line shows the same isotherm in the warm years.

  12. if 〈 then 〈 The difference of STA between the IOWP cold and warm events (cold minus warm). The shaded areas signify confidence levels over 90% by the significance test. The heavy shaded area over the Tibetan Plateau denotes the topography over 2200m above sea level.

  13. 3.1.2 The Influence of pre-winter IOWP on vapor transport Warm events：1953/54，1963/64，1972/73，1977/78，1978/79，1982/83，1987/88，1989/90，1990/91，1997/98； Cold events：1952/53，1955/56，1956/57，1964/65，1970/71，1971/72，1973/74，1975/76，1981/82，1992/93，1996/97。 The difference of the spring moisture flux (u*q，v*q, vectors) and divergence field (contours) at low level (1000-850hPa) between the previous winter IOWP cold events and warm events (cold minus warm).( confidence levels over 90% ).

  14. 3.2 West Pacific Tropical High Influence on vapor transport Fig. The average position of WNPSH and wind field (vector) at spring IOWP warm (red) and cold (green) phases. The solid line indicate 1510 gpm contour at 850 hPa, the dashed line indicate the zero contour of zonal wind denoting the ridge position of WNPSH. The heavy shaded area over the Tibetan Plateau denotes the topography

  15. 4 Summary There exists a seesaw-like correlation between the IOWP and the spring rainfall in China. The relationship between spring IOWP and the spring precipitation is shown by the chart:

  16. The spring rainfall in southwest of China increase (decrease) and decrease (weaken) in the north part of China West-south vapor Transport of strengthen (weaken) The contrast between the sea and land decrease (increase) the vapor conver-gence at southe-ast of Tibet Plateau strengthen (weaken) The cold (warm) phase of spring IOWP The wind vector northwest of WNPSH northward（southwo-rd） The position of WNPSH eastward and northward (westwardandsouthward)

  17. Future work Further study the possible reasons of the relationship between the IOWP and spring precipitation in the north area in china Further study the Influence of West Pacific Tropical High on spring precipitation

  18. Thank you！

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