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Photo: Zainab Mogul, Cambridge Bay, NU. Sustainability Planning in Arctic Resource Communities. Michelle Boyle and Hadi Dowlatabadi, University of British Columbia with Members of the Nunavut Economic Developers Association. Acknowledgements.
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Photo: Zainab Mogul, Cambridge Bay, NU Sustainability Planning inArctic Resource Communities Michelle Boyle and Hadi Dowlatabadi, University of British Columbia with Members of the Nunavut Economic Developers Association
Acknowledgements • Climate Decision Making Center, Carnegie Mellon University (NSF SES-034578) and former HDGEC • SSHRC, Northern Development Program and Doctoral Fellowship Program • INAC, Northern Scientific Training Program • SSHRC/DFO, Oceans Management Research Network • Nunavut Economic Developers Association • Susan Rowley, James Tansey
The Research Project • Historic patterns of development in the arctic and its relationship to communities. • Current community priorities, control and capacity. • Strategic planning tools for adaptation.
Agenda • Theoretical frameworks for community adaptation • Comparison with an actual planning process (analysis and results) • Implications for building adaptive capacity in communities
Response Models of community adaptation: Climate vulnerability sets priorities Sensitivity to climate change Community priorities
Response Models of community adaptation: All vulnerabilities set priorities Sensitivity to multiple stresses Sensitivity to climate change Community priorities
Response Models of community adaptation: Local control is limited Sensitivity to multiple stresses Sensitivity to climate change Community priorities Community control
Models of community adaptation: A fuller picture Successful Responses Sensitivity to multiple stresses Adaptive Capacity Sensitivity to climate change Community priorities Community control External resources
Hypotheses • H0: Communities identify risks from climate change as a special priority. • H1a: Communities enjoy control commensurate with their priorities. • H1b: Communities enjoy control over matters involving climate change adaptation. • H2: CEDO priorities and resources match needs for broader community development planning.
Nunavut Economic Development Strategy (NEDS) 2003 THE LAND • Respecting the land • Maintaining our mixed economy • Building on the knowledge of our Elders OUR PEOPLE • Economic development for youth • Education and training • Basic needs: housing, hospitals and schools OUR COMMUNITY ECONOMIES • Community capacity building and organizational development • Small and Inuit business development • Building the knowledge base OUR TERRITORIAL ECONOMY • Putting the Nunavut Land Claims Agreement to work • Sector development and support systems • Infrastructure: from buildings to broadband • Accessing the global marketplace
NEDS 2003 143 Action Items (excluding 24 implementation items) NEDA priority identification Our informed judgments about broader community priorities, sensitivity and levels of control Caveats: Action items as units of observation. NEDS as reflection of priorities broad guiding principles 4 forms of capital: E,H,S,P Method
High Community Priorities THE LAND • Respecting the land • Maintaining our mixed economy • Building on the knowledge of our Elders OUR PEOPLE • Economic development for youth • Education and training • Basic needs: housing, hospitals and schools OUR COMMUNITY ECONOMIES • Community capacity building and organizational development • Small and Inuit business development • Building the knowledge base OUR TERRITORIAL ECONOMY • Putting the Nunavut Land Claims Agreement to work • Sector development and support systems • Infrastructure: from buildings to broadband • Accessing the global marketplace
Community Priorities Sensitivity to multiple stresses Sensitivity to climate change High Community priorities 9% Community control 91%
Characterizing Community & CEDO Priorities “Make the implementation of the community development plan the primary task of the community economic developer.”
Conclusions • H0: Communities identify risks from climate change as a special priority. • H1a: Communities enjoy control commensurate with their priorities. • H1b: Communities enjoy control over matters involving climate change adaptation. • H2: CEDO priorities and resources match needs for broader community development planning
Implications for building adaptive capacity in arctic communities • Climate adaptation should become mainstream in community planning. • Responsibilities should be better coordinated across scales relevant to resource allocation and regulation in Nunavut. • Responsibilities should be better coordinated across jurisdictions within communities.
Climate Sensitivity and Community Control • communitieshave incomplete control over both climate sensitive and non-climate sensitive items
Community Priorities and Community Control • control is not sought for low priority items? • communities have incomplete control over higher priority items