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Urban and Regional Planning Analysis, Dr. Pam Perlich

Urban and Regional Planning Analysis, Dr. Pam Perlich. Program Progress in a Political Environment. Patty Murphy, April 4, 2006. Table of Contents. Demographics Expenditures Economic Change and Revenue Utah Politics. Demographics. Pictures courtesy of Jordan School District.

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Urban and Regional Planning Analysis, Dr. Pam Perlich

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  1. Urban and Regional Planning Analysis,Dr. Pam Perlich Program Progressin aPolitical Environment Patty Murphy, April 4, 2006

  2. Table of Contents • Demographics • Expenditures • Economic Change and Revenue • Utah Politics

  3. Demographics Pictures courtesy of Jordan School District

  4. 2004 and 2005 Enrollmentby Grade Start K in 2008

  5. 2003-03 and 2004-05 Enrollment Changeby Race/Ethnicity Start K in 2008

  6. 2004-05 Enrollment Changeby Race/Ethnicity Start K in 2008

  7. Oct 1, 1990 and Oct 1, 2005Hispanic as Percentage of Total Enrollment

  8. Oct 1, 1977 – Oct 1, 2005Hispanic and All-Other Enrollment Start K in 2008

  9. Oct 1, 1993 – Oct 1, 2006Actual-Projected State Enrollment Error Start K in 2008 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

  10. Oct 1, 1993 – Oct 1, 2006Projected State Enrollment Percentage Error Start K in 2008

  11. Oct 1, 1993 – Oct 1, 2006Actual and Projected State Enrollment Start K in 2008 Sources: USOE, Finance and Statistics, and the Common Data Committee.

  12. 1960-2005 Actual Enrollment;2006-2015 Projected Enrollment Actual Projected Sources: USOE, Finance and Statistics, the Common Data Committee, the Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget, and the Bureau of Economic and Business Research.

  13. Rising:

  14. Expenditures:Labor Intensive Picture courtesy of Jordan School District

  15. FY 2004 Expenditures per Pupilby State US $9,660 Utah $6,142 Sources: USOE, and the US Bureau of the Census.

  16. FY 1970 - FY 2005 Utah K-12 Expenditures per PupilInflation Adjusted Sources: USOE, and the National Center for Education Statistics, US Department of Education.

  17. K-12 Education Funds Growth = Enrollment Change + Inflation

  18. FY 1976-FY 2007 WPU Value and Enrollment ChangeInflation Adjusted

  19. FY 1996-FY 2007 Uniform School Funds per Pupiland Enrollment Annual ChangeInflation Adjusted

  20. FY 07 State and Local Revenue: 11.5% Increase Enrollment: 2.9% Increase

  21. “We are making progress: Things are getting worse at a slower rate.” Patrick Ogden, State Associate Superintendent

  22. At-Risk Programs 5.4% Increase

  23. Perfect Funding Equity$1 = 1 Student Start K in 2008

  24. Practically Perfect Funding DistributionGini Coefficient: .044 Start K in 2008

  25. Economic Change andRevenue

  26. Does education drive economic development, or

  27. Does economic development drive education?

  28. 1960-2015 Utah Personal Incomein millions Projected Bureau of Economic Analysis, Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget, and the Utah State Office of Education, Finance and Statistics.

  29. 1979-2015 Utah Personal Income per Student Projected Source: Economy.com, Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget, and USOE, Finance and Statistics.

  30. 1970-2015 Total K-12 Education Expenditures as a Percent of Personal IncomeInflation Adjusted Projected Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, and Utah State Office of Education, Finance and Statistics.

  31. “Is what you are doing effective?”

  32. Utah Politics: One PartyTaxpayers AssociationCharter Schools (“Private Schools for Free!”)

  33. Utah Politics: Parents for ChoicePrivate School Subsidies$50,000 per legislative candidate

  34. Utah Politics: Governor HuntsmanUtah State Office of EdSchool DistrictsUtah Education Assoc, PTSA

  35. Other Impacts Immigration Laws Immigration PracticeFederal DeficitOil and Utility PricesGlobalization

  36. “Don’t confuse actionwith activity….”

  37. Questions? Patty MurphyBudget Administrator538-7577patty.murphy@schools.utah.gov

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