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Information & Decision Superiority Case studies in applying AI planning technologies to military & civil applications. Dr Roberto Desimone Innovations Manager Knowledge & Information Systems Division. Non-MoD Solutions Customers. MoD Solutions Customers. Defence Solutions Division.
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Information & Decision SuperiorityCase studies in applying AI planning technologies to military & civil applications Dr Roberto Desimone Innovations Manager Knowledge & Information Systems Division
Non-MoD Solutions Customers MoD Solutions Customers Defence Solutions Division Specialised Channels Through Life Services Division Technology Ventures Fund Sensors & Electronics Division Knowledge & Information Systems Division Equity investors Managed Service Customers Estates Division QinetiQ Structure - designed to extract value from core technology Future Systems Technology Division
Contents 1 Problem domain - military & civil 2 Case Study 1: Coalition/Joint Planning 3 Case Study 2: Civil Emergency Planning 4 Case Study 3: Integrated Planning & Simulation 5 Future research, applications & exploitation
Problem Domain - Military & Civil • Complex planning tasks in support of major crises • Facilitating collaboration between multi-agency teams • Assisting response co-ordination & controlling operations • Auditing plans to comply with regulations & policy • Training and learning from responses to major crises • Providing planning aid support to assist decision-making • Help manage planning process in dynamic manner ... above all, support human planners in developing more accurate, consistent, timely, robust plans
Case 1 - Coalition/Joint Planning Aids • Examine how planning aids can support co-ordinating and integrating coalition/joint operations planning tasks • Capitalise on planning languages for capturing coalition/joint military doctrine and for recording planning decisions and lessons learned • Explore the integration of planning aids with operational C2 systems & develop insertion strategy into future UK/Coalition C2 systems ... above all, support coalition operations planners in developing more accurate, consistent, timely, robust COAs, plan guidance & command directives for lower echelons
Key Capabilities - Planning Aids • Recording coalition planning decisions & intentions • Determining feasible COAs, coalition and support forces • Resolving resource conflicts & plan inconsistencies • Browsing current & past COAs in multiple contexts • Provide collaborative & dynamic replanning capability Generate and validate coalition plans reflecting roles, tasks, resources of coalition partners in achieving overall mission/campaign objectives
Guiding plan choices Recording plan rationale direct match J2 Intelligence Info J3 Operations Constraints J1 ORBAT Info J6 Comms & IS Constraints J4 Logistics Constraints Plan Fragment Library J5/9 Political Constraints Hierarchical plan development Supporting COA generation
Case 2 - Civil Emergency Planning • Decision support for the emergency planning process • Focussed at strategic (Gold) & tactical (Silver) command levels • Planning, preparing for and preventing major incidents • Co-ordinating responses & controlling operations • Documenting & investigating accidents and responses • Training and learning from responses to major crises • Potential End-users • Emergency Services • Local authorities • Government & Regulatory Agencies • Industry & Commerce …. help manage planning process in dynamic manner, rather than just provide access to relevant information
Simulations Simulations Planners Planners Shared Architecture/ Coupling Query and Data Manager Case 3 - Integrating Planning & Simulation Currently Databases Databases INTERFACE INTERFACE Planning Architecture Simulation Architecture
results Simulations Query & Data Manager results Planners sets up initiates • PLAN QUERY • SOURCES • QUERY TYPE • METRICS • CONSTRAINTS • SIM QUERY • STARTING CONDITIONS • SIMULATION CONTROL Mapping Query details Data Query & data Queries - The basis of communication
QDM Prescripted Sim Query Database Generic Sim Query Database S I M U L A T O R P L A N N E R Plan Query Manager Simulation Script Matcher/Retriever Sim Query Enactor Complex Query Composer Data + Requests Query & Data Manager
Future research, applications & exploitation Medium & Long-term research • Facilitating semantic interoperability through explicit planning & command decision languages • Interleaving planning & simulation to optimise decisions and to support mission rehearsal & training • Natural language interfaces to planners to support coalition/joint operations • Highlighting uncertainty & plan robustness measures to support risk management Short-term applications & exploitation • Technology insertion of planning aids into operational military C2 systems • Transition of AI planning & scheduling technology into wider civil commercial products … provide assisted dynamic replanning capability in response to rapidly changing events