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Setting the Stage for SEM Planning. SEM Data Team August 2012. Setting the Stage for SEM Planning. Introduction. Demographics. Affordability. Retention. Indiana’s Education Pipeline. ICHE Strategic Priorities and Policy Directives - 2012.
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Setting the Stage for SEM Planning SEM Data Team August 2012
Setting the Stage for SEM Planning Introduction Demographics Affordability Retention
ICHE Strategic Priorities and Policy Directives - 2012 Students and the state are not well served by an empty promise of college access without completion. • Degree Completion • Remediation Success • Student Persistence A more productive higher education system will increase student success and safeguard college affordability. • On-Time Completion • Cost Per Degree • Student Debt • Learning Outcomes • Transfer • Return on Investment Increasing college completion and productivity need not come at the expense of academic quality Source: ICHE
Setting the Stage for SEM Planning Introduction Demographics Affordability Retention
Indiana Population by Age Projected Shared of Total Population by Age Group, 2010 to 2050 (per IBRC) Projected Population Change by Age Group, 2010 to 2050 (per IBRC)
Indiana HS Graduates 1991-2021 By 2014-15, Hispanics are expected to represent 8% of HS Graduates (up from 3% in 2004-05). African-Americans – 9% (up from 8% in 2004-05) Source: Western Intestate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE)
High School Graduates by Region Source: Indiana Department of Education
Statewide High School GraduatesRecent HS Graduates (2011) • Increase in graduates passing AP exams: • 7.5 percent in 2006 vs14.0 percent in 2011 • Increase in Dual Credit Course-Taking • 10,000 in 2006 to over 43,000 students in 2011 • Remediation Rates – 2011 HS Graduates • General Diploma Graduates – 66% • Core40 Graduates - 38% • Core40 with Honors Graduates – 7% One in four Indiana college students enrolled in remediation will earn a degree within 6 years Source: Complete College America, 2011
SAT Scores 2007 & 2011National, Indiana and ISU Source: College Board
Primary CompetitorsFall 2010 ISU Admits who did not enrollWhere did they go? Source: National Student Clearinghouse
Annualized Enrollment – 4Yr Publics ISU largest 1yr change (9.4%) USI largest 5yr change (13.2%) Ivy Tech 67% 5yr change VU 42% 5yr change ICI – 14% 5yr change (Fall) Source: ICHE
Student Profiles in Perspective Source: IPEDS (2010).
Distance Education Trend ISU 25% enrolled in at least one distance course For the calendar year, 30% (15% distance only)
Setting the Stage for SEM Planning Introduction Demographics Affordability Retention
Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO) State Higher Education Finance FY 2011
State Funding per Resident Degree-Seeking FTE Source: ICHE
Performance Funding Impact on ISU’s Funding 2011-13 Source: ISU VP Business Affairs
ISU Performance Funding Metrics for 2013-15 Budget Submission FY12 CHE Recommendation for allocation of performance funding dollars: 55% through increases in overall degree completion and on-time degrees 30% rewards progress in persistence and low income degrees 15% improvement in institution-defined metric
ISU Course Fees Average per course enrollment $30 $117
Paying for College • 70% of families are eliminating college choices based on cost • More students are now choosing to enroll in community colleges Source: How America Pays for College, Ipsos/Sallie Mae
Financial Aid to ISU Full-time First-time Freshman • % of cohort receiving aid by type $2,716 $3,993 $3,083 $4,646 $4,115 $2,500 $6,619 $4,559 $4,481 $2,835 $6,171 $6,143 Source: ISU IPEDS Financial Aid Survey
Setting the Stage for SEM Planning Introduction Affordability Retention Demographics
ISU Retention/Graduation Also: About 1 of every 2 transfer students to ISU graduate from here. Year 4+? Year 4
New FreshmenFirst-time Full-time Bachelors Degree Seekers (FTFTBDS)
First-time Freshman ProfileFall 2012 High School Rank 9% - Top 10% 29% - Top 25% 68% - Top 50% High School GPA 22% - 3.5 or higher 53% - 3.0 or higher 89% - 2.5 or higher High School Other 20% - Acad Honors Diplomas 20% - 21st Century Scholars
First-time Freshman Profile (2012) • Where are they from? • 80% Indiana • 16% Out of State • 4% International • Where in Indiana? • 27% Marion & surrounding • 16% Vigo & surrounding • 11% Northwest Indiana • What else? • 56% Women • 81% Live on Campus • More than half are Pell Recipients • Over half are 1st Generation
State benchmark retention rates:four year publics Source: US News National Average = 78.4% Indiana = 74.3% IPEDS 2010 – all 4-yr publics
Potential retention peers – retention and graduation rates ISU’s 5yr Goal – 70% Source: AACRAO SEM Consulting
New FreshmenFirst-time Full-time Bachelors Degree Seekers (FTFTBDS) 60.6% 63.1% 41.6%
ISU 1-Yr Retention Rates (FTFT BDS) African Americans and Whites