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SUPPLY, DEMAND AND EXPENDITURE ON LONG TERM CARE IN EU Dr. Valentina Prevolnik Rupel

SUPPLY, DEMAND AND EXPENDITURE ON LONG TERM CARE IN EU Dr. Valentina Prevolnik Rupel Institute for Economic Research , Slovenia. Determinants of supply of long term care services. Source : The 2012 Ageing Report , European Economy 2, 2012.

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SUPPLY, DEMAND AND EXPENDITURE ON LONG TERM CARE IN EU Dr. Valentina Prevolnik Rupel

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  1. SUPPLY, DEMAND AND EXPENDITURE ON LONG TERM CARE IN EU Dr. Valentina Prevolnik Rupel Institute forEconomicResearch, Slovenia

  2. Determinantsofsupplyoflong term careservices Source: The 2012 AgeingReport, EuropeanEconomy 2, 2012

  3. Determinants of demandof long term care services Source: The 2012 Ageing Report, European Economy 2, 2012 Demography = ageing of the population ageing societies: progression of large birth cohorts, followed by smaller birth cohorts (fertility decline) and 2. ageing individuals:life extension of elderly at the high end of the life course Disability: a person's perception of his/her ability to perform activities associated with daily living (ADL) Dependency: different definitions across countries; inability to perform daily personal care tasks.

  4. European project ANCIEN (Assessing Needs of Care in European Nations) • Goal: to prepare a typology of LTC systems in Europe • Typology 1is based on system characteristics • Organisationaldepth: means-testedaccess, entitlement, availabilityofcashbenefits, choiceofproviders, qualityassurance, integration/coordinationofcare • Financialgenerosity: publicexpenditures as shareof GDP • Thehigherfinancialgenerosity – the more patientfriendly is LTC system • Thedeeperorganizationdepth – the more patientfriendly is LTC system • Typology 2 is based on use and financing • Publicexpenditure on LTC as a shareof GDP • Privateexpenditure as a shareof LTC spending • Informalcarerecipientsaged 65+ as a shareofpopulationaged 65+ • Supportforinformalcaregivers

  5. Typologyof LTC systemsbased on systemcharacteristics Source: A typology of systems of LTC in Europe, results of WP1 of the ANCIEN project www.ancien – longtermcare.eu

  6. Typologyof LTC systemsbased on useandfinancing Source: A typologyofsystemsof LTC in Europe, resultsof WP1 ofthe ANCIEN project www.ancien – longtermcare.eu

  7. European Commission - Working Group on AgeingPopulations (AWG)9 scenariosofbudgetaryprojectionsfor 27 memberstates Source: The 2012 Ageing Report, European Economy 2, 2012

  8. Futureexpenditurefor LTC provision: thevariousscenarios

  9. Thankyou! rupelv@ier.si

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