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Patrick FAY CRU. Acome’s 14 th Symposium: Data and Telecom Networks St. Petersburg, Russia May 29-June 2, 2014. Global Optical Cable Developments. Patrick Fay CRU International. 253 Million km of Cabled Fiber Installed in 2013. Annual M F-km. Annual M F-km.
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Patrick FAY CRU
Acome’s 14th Symposium: Data and Telecom Networks St. Petersburg, Russia May 29-June 2, 2014 Global Optical Cable Developments Patrick Fay CRU International
253 Million km of Cabled Fiber Installed in 2013 Annual M F-km Annual M F-km • R.O.W – Rest of World: Data: CRU International Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia
Twenty-five countries with > 1 M f-km = 89% of WW S-M Demand Four Countries Account for 2/3 of Global S-M Fibre Demand in 2013, 249.1 M f-km 122 Next Seven Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia
Cumulative S-M Fibre Installed per HH for 23 Countries 1fkm/hh Pace of Growth of Installed Base/HH is Mixed: Bars Show Number of Years at Each Level 2fkm/hh 3fkm/hh 4fkm/hh 5fkm/hh 6fkm/hh • Data – CRU International, ITU Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia
Legend N. Am. Annual FTTx Demand by Major Region, ‘08-’13 Europe China Oth. A-P R.O.W. • Cabled-fibre Demand, M f-m • Data: CRU International Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia
G.652.C/D Fibre Eclipses G.652.A/B in 2006 on Strength of FTTH Demand and Introduction of Merchant Preforms M f-km Data CRU International Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia
Fibre Optic Cable Demand by Fibre-km in 2013 Ribbon Usage Within Region Major Cable Demand by Design • Data: CRU International Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia
Price Example: 48-Fibre Armored Cable in Asia and SMF US$ fibre-metre Data: Trade Data, CRU International Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia
Comments on Q1 2014 Developments Demand factors: • NA Shipments are up 15% year-on-year. NA demand up 24% • China demand is up 14% • European demand is up 11% • Global demand is up 13% Fibre Pricing: • World fibre shipments up 13% in Q1 2014 • Mix of low quarterly installations in 2013, fibre stock build-up in 2013 and capacity coming on line is contributing to low prices in China • Joint ventures and facilities in other regions adding to capacity Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia
CRU’s Wire and Cable Team Three full-time analysts plus research staff Patrick Fay Industry analyst covering: optical fiber, cable, telecom networks, FTTx Phone: + 1 401 783 4764 Email: patrick.fay@crugroup.com Company website: http://www.crugroup.com Location: Providence, Rhode Island (RI) Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia