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Forecast Review—Burlington, Vermont

Joshua Gooch, Michael Page, Heather Waldman METEO 415 November 13, 2012. Forecast Review—Burlington, Vermont. Map. Facts. Size : 15.5 square miles City : 42,417 Metro : 211,261 Nickname : Queen City Home of University of Vermont. Burlington, Vermont. Observations. Observations.

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Forecast Review—Burlington, Vermont

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  1. Joshua Gooch, Michael Page, Heather Waldman METEO 415 November 13, 2012 Forecast Review—Burlington, Vermont

  2. Map Facts Size: 15.5 square miles City: 42,417 Metro: 211,261 Nickname: Queen City Home of University of Vermont Burlington, Vermont

  3. Observations

  4. Observations

  5. Observations

  6. 12z 7 November

  7. 15z SREF Guidance—for 12z 8 November

  8. 18z 7 November

  9. 2z 8 November

  10. 15z 8 November

  11. KBTV Verifications

  12. Survey Scores

  13. Career Scores

  14. Up Close & Personal…with Sean

  15. Lessons Learned • North/Northwest wind off of nearby Lake Champlain likely kept overnight lows above MOS • Proximity to water can often lead to higher than expected gusts • Good agreement from operational and ensembles on back-edge of precipitation leads to higher forecast confidence

  16. Forecast Review—Nantucket, Massachusetts

  17. Map Facts Size: 105.3 square miles Island (Full Time): 10,172 Island (Summer): 56,000 Settled: 1641 No traffic lights! Nantucket, Massachusetts

  18. Observations

  19. Observations

  20. Observations

  21. Observations

  22. 2z 8 November

  23. 12z 8 November

  24. 18z GFS Guidance—for 12z 8 November

  25. 13z 8 November

  26. 23z 8 November

  27. Damage

  28. KACK Verifications

  29. Career Scores

  30. Up Close and Personal…with Billy

  31. Lessons Learned • Island locations stay windy, especially with storm nearby • Proximity to center of the storm will impact wind direction • Temperatures likely to warm as coastal storm nears

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