190 likes | 306 Views
Fourth District PTA Advocacy Roundtable. Presented by. Ron Bennett President and CEO. Funding Per ADA – Actual vs. Statutory Level. Loss due to midyear cut. $4,911. Money Matters in Student Performance. California’s Education Spending Continues to Lag.
E N D
Fourth District PTAAdvocacy Roundtable Presented by Ron Bennett President and CEO
Funding Per ADA – Actual vs. Statutory Level Loss due to midyear cut $4,911
Governor Brown’s Budget Revenues vs. LAO Forecast • Governor Brown’s Budget assumes revenues and transfers of $95.4 billion in 2012-13, a 7.7% increase • The LAO forecasts a two-year shortfall of $6.5 billion,including $2 billion in additional tax revenues relatedto the Facebook initial public offering • $3.0 billion attributable to 2011-12;$3.5 billion to 2012-13 • The LAO forecast assumes passage ofGovernor Brown’s original tax proposal
Reasons for the LAO’s Pessimism • Economic Outlook • The LAO forecasts stronger U.S. and California economic growth thanthe DOF • Revenue Forecast • The LAO disagrees with the DOF’s assumption about capital gains income; the DOF is too optimistic • Average home price appreciation for 2002-2006 was 18% annually; 2012-2015 forecast of 1.2% • Capital gains income between 2002-2006 of $88 billion annually; $90 billion a year forecast by the DOF for 2012-2015 • Recent shortfalls have been attributed to weak capital gains income
Competing Tax Initiatives • Governor Brown’s Budget assumes passage of $6.9 billion in new taxes, but other measures could be on the ballot • Conventional wisdom says that if more than one tax initiative is on the ballot, they all fail • What’s in play? • Governor Brown’s initiative – ½ cent sales tax and higher income tax rates for $250,000 and above • California Federation of Teacher’s (CFT) millionaires tax • Molly Munger/Parent Teacher Association’s broad based income tax • Latest entry: Governor Brown’s compromise with CFT • ¼ sales tax and higher income tax rates at $250,000 and above
Political and Logistical Challenges • A Field Poll in February placed CFT’s millionaire’s tax first (63% support), then Governor Brown’s (58%), finally Munger’s (43%) • A March 7 Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) poll placedGovernor Brown’s at 52% • Signature gathering to qualify • About 500,000 valid signatures forMunger’s and CFT’s • About 800,000 for Governor Brown’s(constitutional amendment) • About six weeks remaining tosubmit signatures
Weighted Student Funding • Governor Brown has proposed a major change to California’s school finance system • Revenue limits and over 40 categorical programs would be replaced with a weighted student funding (WSF) formula • $4,920 per-ADA base rate, plus 37% additional for English Learners and free and reduced-price lunch students • Six-year phase-in, with 5% phase-in in 2012-13; hold harmless in budget year • Major categorical programs added to flexibility • Economic Impact Aid • Class-Size Reduction • Transportation
Weighted Student Funding • The WSF proposal has evolved since January and other changes are expected • Grade span weights, similar to the charter school block grant • Major challenges and shortcomings • Eliminates deficit factor • Redistributes base funding ($5,244 per ADA vs. $4,920 per ADA) • Nothing “magical” about 37% weights • Disregards cost factors unrelated to disadvantaged students • Each Legislator will have winners and losers in his/her district
Transitional Kindergarten Proposal in 2012-13 • Senate Bill 1381 (Chapter 705/2010): • Changed eligible birth dates for kindergarten and 1st grade • Established “Transitional Kindergarten (TK)” • According to current law, TK is to start in 2012-13 • Districts offer TK to students who otherwise do not qualify for traditional kindergarten due to change in age eligibility dates • Must offer TK to students turning five between December 2 andNovember 2 in 2012-13 • Can offer TK to students with birthdays between September 2 and December 2 • Not required at every school site – whatever works best for the district • Not compulsory – students are not required to attend kindergarten
Transitional Kindergarten Proposal in 2012-13 • Governor’s Proposal: • Eliminates all statutes associated with TK • TK would be an optional local decision • Allows students turning five at any time during the school year to: • Enroll in kindergarten, fully funded, at the beginning of the school year • On a case-by-case basis, upon local board approval • Legislature has been generally unfavorable – future of proposaluncertain • Resources will be available for TK in either current law or Governor’s Proposal
K-12 Deferrals • Nearly $10 billion in payments of state aid for K-12 schools is deferred into the next year • Equates to more than 38% of the principal apportionment • Districts receiving most of their funding from local sources: • Have always had to borrow to meet cash flow – mostly within year • Borrowing needs are less affected by deferrals of state aid • Districts receiving most of their funding from the state: • Historically, cash flow more closely matches spending • Operating cash needs often met without borrowing • Therefore, deferrals of state aid have a significant impact • Imposes new borrowing requirements to match cash needs • Requires borrowing across fiscal years • May require two Tax Revenue Anticipation Notes, with theassociated costs
Basic Aid Budget Reductions • Fair Share • Revenue limit districts have been impacted by a deficit of 20.602% in 2011-12 as an ongoing deficit beyond 2011-12 • The comparable impact on basic aid districts includes a fair share reduction of 9.57% for the 2011-12 fiscal year • The reduction of the fair share will be based on the 2011-12 P-2 revenue limit subject to the deficit factor for each of the respective districts identified as “basic aid” in the 2011-12 • The reduction is taken from categorical program funds apportioned in the 2012-13 fiscal year