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Sebastian Noethlichs, EWEA 2011. Wind Energy in Bulgaria ‘from gold rush to standstill’ or ‘from 0 MW to 14,000 MW and back again’. Wind Energy in Bulgaria. Starting conditions Decent wind conditions Variable, indexed, 15 year feed-in-tariff Fixed exchange rate 2007 EU accession:
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Sebastian Noethlichs, EWEA 2011 Wind Energy in Bulgaria ‘from gold rush to standstill’ or ‘from 0 MW to 14,000 MW and back again’
Wind Energy in Bulgaria • Starting conditions • Decent wind conditions • Variable, indexed, 15 year feed-in-tariff • Fixed exchange rate • 2007 EU accession: • EU2020 targets • EU funding • Euro-Zone accession perspective Instant viability
Wind Energy in Bulgaria • What happened? Realistically: 2000 – 3000 MW by 2020 Operating 300 MW Installed 500 MW Licensed 1673 MW Pre-Contracted 3285 MW ‘Planned’ 14000 MW BG maxload 7000 MW
Wind Energy in Bulgaria • What happened?
Wind Energy in Bulgaria • Result • Overburdening of authorities • Reaching of technical capacity • Fear of ‘overshooting the target’ Political backlash
Wind Energy in Bulgaria • Political Backlash • Existential threats and uncertainties • New renewable energy law increased development risk • Agricultural land ban threat to regional existence
Wind Energy in Bulgaria • New Renewable Energy Law • Annual capacity allowances • 2,500 EUR/MW • Refundable? • 25,000 EUR/MW • Non-refundable EIA EIA engineering engineering connection connection wind potential wind potential operation operation capacity allocation land rights land rights land use land use permitting permitting connection pre-payment construction construction max. 1 year
Wind Energy in Bulgaria • Agricultural Land Ban • Artificial obstruction • Threat to vast majority of projects under development • Virtual freeze in North-Eastern region 100% All Agricultural Land 66,143 km2 12% UnusedLand 7,800 km2 48% Category 1 - 4 Land 31,593 km2 0.02% Land for Renewable Energy 5.3 km²
Wind Energy in Bulgaria • Summary 1. Instant viability 2. Rapid development 3. Political backlash • New framework • more restrictions, more state control • Our goal: • ‘unpleasant but workable’ • minimize risk and cost to all stakeholders
Wind Energy in Bulgaria Thank you for your attention! info@bgwea.org 1 Kuzman Shapkarev Street Sofia, 1000 Bulgaria