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Financiering. Jeroen E. Ligterink jeroenl@fee.uva.nl www.fee.uva.nl/fm. BMM 18: Financial Planning. Topics Covered What is Financial Planning? Financial Planning Models Example: Executive Cheese Planners Beware External Financing and Growth. Financial Planning.
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Financiering Jeroen E. Ligterinkjeroenl@fee.uva.nl www.fee.uva.nl/fm
BMM 18: Financial Planning Topics Covered • What is Financial Planning? • Financial Planning Models • Example: Executive Cheese • Planners Beware • External Financing and Growth
Financial Planning The Financial Planning Process • Analyzing the investment and financing choices open to the firm. • Projecting the future consequences of current decisions. • Deciding which alternatives to undertake. • Measuring subsequent performance against the goals set forth in the financial plan.
Financial Planning Models Inputs Planning Model Outputs Inputs - Current financial statements. Forecasts of key variables (such as sales or interest rates). Planning Model - Equations specifying key relationships. Outputs - Projected financial statements (pro forma). Financial ratios. Sources and uses of funds.
Financial Planning Models Pro Formas - Projected or forecasted financial statements. Percentage of Sales Model - Planning model in which sales forecasts are the driving variable and most other variables are proportional to sales. Balancing Item - Variable that adjusts to maintain the consistency of a financial plan. Also called plug.
Executive Cheese Current Income Statement and Balance Sheet
Executive Cheese Pro forma Income Statement and Balance Sheet
Executive Cheese • Pro forma Balance Sheet with dividends fixed at $180 and debt used as the balance item.
Executive Fruit 1999 Financial Statements
Executive Fruit 2000 Pro Forma Statements
Planners Beware • Percent of sales methods are not realistic because fixed costs exist. • Most models generate accounting numbers not financial cash flows • Adjustments must be made to consider these and other factors.
BMM 19: Working capital management and short term planning • Working Capital • Links Between Long-Term and Short-Term Financing • Tracing Changes in Cash and Working Capital • Cash Budgeting • A Short-Term Financing Plan • Sources of Short-Term Financing • The Cost of Bank Loans
Cash Conversion Cycle Period between firm’s payment for materials and collection on its sales. Cash Raw materials inventory Receivables Finished goods inventory
Example - Cash Conversion Cycle Given the aggregate balance sheet and income statement for US Manufacturing firms, calculate the cash conversion cycle.
Cash Budgeting Steps to preparing a cash budget Step 1 - Forecast the sources of cash. Step 2 - Forecast uses of cash. Step 3 - Calculate whether the firm is facing a cash shortage or surplus.
Sources of Short Term Financing • Bank loans • Commercial paper • Secured loans
Cost of Bank Loans Simple Interest Effective annual rate
Cost of Bank Loans Discount Interest
Minicase chapter 19 • Autodealer Capstan heeft in 2005 regeling uitgestelde betaling (koop nu betaal over een half jaar) ingevoerd. Het is nu einde eerste kwartaal 2006 • Wat zijn de consequenties van de kortingsaktie? • Investering in netto werkkapitaal • Hoe is het gefinancierd? • Bancaire financiering • Bank wil niet verder financieren, is dit juist bezien vanuit haar perspectief?