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International conference

International conference Соціально-демографічні зрушення: чинники та перспективи , 17-1 8 грудня 201 3 року , Київ, Україна. Sociodemographic differences of fertility intentions in Lithuania in the context of low fertility and economic instability. Vlada Stank ūnienė

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International conference

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  1. International conference Соціально-демографічні зрушення: чинники та перспективи, 17-18 грудня 2013 року, Київ, Україна Sociodemographic differences of fertility intentions in Lithuania in the context of low fertility and economic instability Vlada Stankūnienė Demographic Research Centre, Vytautas Magnus University, Kaunas, Lithuania and Lithuanian Social Research Centre

  2. DATA, SOURCES STATISTICAL DATA: Lithunian statistics Human fertility data base EUROSTAT SURVEYS: Main (international): Generations and Gender Survey, 1st wave (GGS1), Lithuania,2006 Generations and Gender Survey, 2nd wave (GGS2), Lithuania 2009 Additional/ comparative: International: Fertility and Family Survey (FFS), Lithuania, 1994/95 Population Policy Acceptance Study (PPA), in Lithuania2001 National: Needs of Family Policy (FP),2010

  3. DATA, SOURCES, No SURVEYS: 18-49 Total FP,2010 1000 1000 GGS2, Lithuania 2009 5000 8000 GGS1, Lithuania,2006 6300 10000 PPA, in Lithuania2001 900 1500 FFS, Lithuania, 1994/95 5000 5000

  4. TOTAL FERTILITY RATE, Lithuania, 1990-2012 Source: Lithuanian statistics

  5. TOTAL FERTILITY RATE, Lithuania, 1990-2012 2,1 1,5 1,3 Source: Lithuanian statistics

  6. TOTAL FERTILITY RATE: Eastern and Central European countries PTFR Sources: Eurostat 2010; Federal 2010; Naselenie 1988; Otchiot 2009; Recent 2004; State 2010; Demografijos, 2013

  7. TOTAL FERTILITY RATE: Western European countries PTFR PSGR X Sources:Eurostat 2010; Federal 2010; Naselenie 1988; Otchiot 2009; Recent 2004; State 2010; Statistikos 2011

  8. TOTAL FERTILITY RATE, Lithuania, 1960-2012 X FDT, end SDT, beginning 2-2,2 Source: Lithuanian statistics; Human fertility data base

  9. Age-specific fertility rates, Lithuania X Source: Lithuanian statistics; Human fertility data base

  10. Age-specific fertility rates, Lithuania Source: Lithuanian statistics; Human fertility data base

  11. Age-specific fertility rates, Lithuania Source: Lithuanian statistics; Human fertility data base

  12. Age-specific fertility rates, Lithuania, 1990-2012 Source: Lithuanian statistics; Human fertility data base

  13. Total fertility rate and mean age at first birth Source: Lithuanian statistics; Human fertility data base

  14. Total fertility rate and adjusted total fertility rate X Source: Human fertility data base; Bongaarts,Feeney, 2010, 1998

  15. Desired number of children 18-49 Sources: FFS, GGS_2006, GGS_2009, PPA_2001; FP_2010

  16. Fertility intentions 18-49 Sources: GGS_2006, GGS_2009, PPA_2001; FP_2010

  17. Number of children: desired and intended to have 18-49 X Sources: FFS, GGS_2006, GGS_2009, PPA_2001; FP_2010

  18. Sociodemographic differences of fertility intentions (1) I. Sociodemographic differences of fertility intentions by gender: Differences between fertility intentions of men and women are considerabledifferent Changes of fertility intentions trajectory in economic fluctuation are different II. Sociodemographic differences of fertility intentions by age: Decline in fertility intention among youngest is more evident (men and women). During economic decline reaction of youngest (men/women) is most expressed III. Sociodemographic differences of fertility intentions by education: Highest fertility intentions among the men with university education. Fertility intentions of men with higher education are not affected even by economic fluctuations Among women, differences of fertility intentions by education is not very expressed even in economic downturn

  19. Sociodemographic differences of fertility intentions (2) IV. Sociodemographic differences of fertility intentions by employment: Fertility intentions of employed men are highest irrespective of the economic situation Among women, differences of fertility intentions by employment status is not very expressed even during economic fluctiuations V. Sociodemographic differences of fertility intentions byresidence: The highest differences (men/ women, especially men) are by residence Vilnius, capital of Lithuania stands out, conspicuously, by the highest fertility intention indicators (men/ women). Sub-populations of small and middle towns are most affected by unfavourable conditions especially in economic instability

  20. Fertility intentions: number of children by age of respondent 20-49 Sources: GGS_2006, GGS_2009, FP_2010

  21. Fertility intentions: number of children by education of respondent 20-49 Sources: GGS_2006, GGS_2009, FP_2010

  22. Fertility intentions: number of children by employment of respondent 20-49

  23. Fertility intentions: number of children by residence of respondent Vilnius 20-49 Sources: GGS_2006, GGS_2009, FP_2010

  24. Fertility intentions: number of children by marital status of respondent X 20-49

  25. Factorsof intentions to have two children. 20-39 years old childless respondents Highest differences: By residence – men/women By education – men Wellbeing of household -men Significance level: * 5 (per 100), ** 1 (per 100) ir *** 1 (per 1000).

  26. Dynamic of total fertility rate and change of gross domestic product Source: Lithuanian statistics

  27. THANK YOU FOR ATTENTION

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