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Resources Commodities Boom: Past and Future Perspectives

Resources Commodities Boom: Past and Future Perspectives. Professor Quentin Grafton Executive Director/Chief Economist Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics (BREE). The Economic Club of Canada Ottawa, Canada 21 February 2012. Overview.

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Resources Commodities Boom: Past and Future Perspectives

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  1. Resources Commodities Boom: Past and Future Perspectives Professor Quentin Grafton Executive Director/Chief Economist Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics (BREE) The Economic Club of Canada Ottawa, Canada 21 February 2012

  2. Overview How important are resources to Australia and Canada? Is this just another ‘boom and bust’? What are the sources of the boom? What are the impacts of the boom for resource commodity exporters? How long will the boom last?

  3. Importance of Resources Sector

  4. Resources Sector & Australia (2011)

  5. Resources Sector & Canada (2010)

  6. Is this Just Another ‘Boom and Bust’?

  7. Aluminium and copper prices

  8. Iron ore and met coal prices

  9. What are the Sources of the Boom?

  10. Urbanisation rate 51% Source: World Bank

  11. Steel intensity of use

  12. Copper intensity of use1980-2010

  13. Ownership of consumer durables in Chinaper 100 households Source: China Statistical Yearbook

  14. What are the Impacts of the Boom?

  15. Resources industry key indicators

  16. Aus. Resources/Energy Exports to China

  17. Major iron ore exporters Source: BREE, ABARES

  18. Major metallurgical exporters Source: BREE, ABARES

  19. Australian LNG capacity

  20. Value minerals and energy projects under construction – October 2011

  21. How long will the boom last?

  22. Metal Prices Indices

  23. Bulk Commodities Price Indices

  24. Australian Mine Production Index

  25. Thank You • (quentin.grafton@bree.gov.au)

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