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Top Trends in Middle Market Private Equity Harris Smith, MP Private Equity and Strategic Relationships December 9, 2008. Top Trends. Impact of credit crunch Explosion of cross-border M&A Proliferation of operational partners Emergence of sovereign wealth funds
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Top Trends in Middle Market Private Equity Harris Smith, MP Private Equity and Strategic RelationshipsDecember 9, 2008
Top Trends • Impact of credit crunch • Explosion of cross-border M&A • Proliferation of operational partners • Emergence of sovereign wealth funds • Middle-market compensation squeeze • Three hot sectors for investment • Natural evolution of private equity firm
1. Impact of the credit crunch • August 2007, credit markets began contraction • Slowdown in M&A activity • M&A activity for large deals decreased more than middle-market deals • Likewise, middle-market private equity investments decreased less than largest buyouts in first half of year • PE firms moving downstream doing smaller deals requiring little or no leverage • Mezzanine debt has become more prevalent • Strategic buyers now more competitive
2. Explosion of cross-border M&A • Cross-border deals increasingly important for large middle-market PE firms • Reasons: • Geographic diversification • Good acquisition candidates outside US • Portfolio company outsourcing • Consumer growth in emerging markets • Cross-border M&A has grown dramatically over last decade • Middle-market has become increasingly involved
2. Explosion of cross-border M&A • ACG-Thomson Reuters Mid-Year 2008 DealMakers Survey: • 28% of middle-market firms did cross-border deal in first half 2008 • 55% say will do cross-border deal in next six months • 40% say cross-border deals will become more important to their firms • Private equity deals outside of the US by US firms reached highest level in 2007, $194 billion • Trend expected to continue
3. Proliferation of operational partners • A competitive edge in deal flow • Sector expertise • Added value to portfolio companies, best practices • Work with management, or replace them if necessary
4. Emergence of sovereign wealth funds • Growing in size and influence • U.S. investments popular: political stability, transparency • Provided much-needed capital, but recent pullback • National security questions: Dubai Ports World • SWFs estimated at more than $2.5 trillion • SWFs could eventually invest in middle-market firms
5. Middle-market compensation squeeze • Widening pay gap between largest buyout and middle-market firms • Smaller pay increases at smaller firms • More funds mean more options for associates • Recruiting, retaining talent tougher for smaller firms • Faster path to partnership helps small firm recruiting
6. Three hot sectors for investment: Energy, Healthcare & Technology • Energy • Growth opportunities fueled Q1-Q3 dealmaking • Credit crisis, drop in energy prices have slowed M&A • Long-term outlook positive • Alternative energy especially promising • Fragmented industry • Healthcare • Pharma, biotech and medical devices lead active year • Growth sector – baby boomers • Historically recession-resistant, but not immune to downturn • Risks: changes in regulations and reimbursements • Technology • Ranked 1st in the U.S. and 2nd globally in number of deals Q1-Q3 • Significant slowdown in fourth quarter • PE tech firms have cash on hand but credit crunch hampering dealmaking • SaaS and Cleantech are bright spots
7. Natural evolution of PE firms • Blurring of line between private equity, other asset classes • Largest firms diversifying into different sectors, hedge funds • Easier for LPs to invest in fewer firms with multiple fund types • Coming consolidation • Specialization for smaller firms • Some skepticism among middle market firms
Conclusion • Private equity ever-changing asset class • Private equity maturing • Savvy private equity investors re-inventing business • Large PE firms continue to enter middle-market • Private equity remain attractive to LPs, employees, companies