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“Opportunities and Challenges Facing Businesses Investing or Trading in Thailand”. Birmingham October 7, 2008. Rodney Bain, Chairman, British Chamber of Commerce Thailand. “Scorecard - Thailand 2008” Rodney Bain, Chairman BCCT
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“Opportunities and Challenges Facing Businesses Investing or Trading in Thailand” Birmingham October 7, 2008 Rodney Bain, Chairman, British Chamber of Commerce Thailand
“Scorecard - Thailand 2008” Rodney Bain, Chairman BCCT • "How the BCCT supports businesses in Thailand“ Greg Watkins, Executive Director BCCT • "Legal Aspects of Doing Business in Thailand' Gary Biesty, Managing Partner, Mayer Brown • "The Thai Property Sector" James Pitchon, Executive Director, CB Richard Ellis (Thailand) • "The Thai Banking Sector“ PeeriyathepHomhuan, County Manager, Bangkok Bank UK
Rodney Bain 24 years in Thailand 8 years with Esso, Dunlop, UN/ESCAP Founded Market-Edge Asia Ltd. 1993 Offices in Thailand, Vietnam and Indonesia SME database company – Automotive, Insurance, Hospitality, Services British Chamber of Commerce Thailand 8 years on BCCT Board 2006 Vice Chairman 2007- Chairman
Scorecard - Thailand 2008 • Political Situation • Economy • Investment
BUSINESS IN THAILAND SUCCEEDS DESPITE POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY Thailand has been and remains a very good place to invest
Politics (+): new democratic, pro-business, investor friendly; international acceptance; listens and consults foreign business; most investor friendly country in Asia => must deliver Politics (-); coalition - return of “old-style”; TRT reserve team; Democrats failed; politics not developing; income disparity remains; Upcountry elects/Bangkok unseats; Establishment vs Thaksin – poles apart; court cases; future?
Economy (+): growth 5.0% (4.8% - 07) (5.2% -09); ($38bn mega projects; fiscal stimulus package; little direct sub-prime fall-out; exports resilient - market diversification; strong Baht, A S&P Rating ) Economy (-): low confidence (domestic); Inflation 2.3% (07), 6%+ (08); Externals – US/global economy; oil price, THB appreciation (good/bad), food price (good/bad); skilled/unskilled labour shortages
Investment (+): more promising outlook; target THB 3 trillion (USD 93bn) 2008-11; restrictive investment legislation shelved; reduce red-tape; open environment (BOI); overhaul tax structure; ease regulations to promote competitiveness Investment (-): not level playing field - FTA’s, Treaty of Amity, minority ownership; restrictive legislation (eg FBA); bureaucracy; regional competition
Conclusion • - 2006-7 The Lost Years – regaining momentum • - competitive advantage in the region/externals • - encouraging Government initiatives in 2008 • - consultation with foreign business community • - business runs the economy not government • long-term approach – patience/common sense
BUSINESS IN THAILAND SUCCEEDS DESPITE POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY Thailand has been and remains a very good place to invest