BALTIMORE & ITS REGIONAL: THE ROAD AHEAD Lenneal J. Henderson June 11, 2009

1. BALTIMORE & ITS REGIONAL: THE ROAD AHEADLenneal J. HendersonJune 11, 2009

2. RECASTING OUR URBAN THEMES

3. RECASTING OUR URBAN THEMES • GREEN VALUES • HEALTHY • SAFE • EQUITABLE • EFFICIENT • NEIGHBORHLY

4. THE BALTIMORE REGION IS NO NEW CONCEPT • The 1990 Stanton Report • The 1991 Peirce Report • The work of the Greater Baltimore Committee • The Committee on the Region of the Citizen’s Housing & Planning Association • The Hopkins/UMBC Forum

5. Dimensions of the Region • Demography • Socioeconomic Dynamics • Institutional Dynamics • Policy Orientations • Cultural Shifts • Global Dynamics • Value Shifts

6. PERSPECTIVES IN THIS PRESENTATION • THE BALTIMORE REGION MUST BE UNDERSTOOD IN THE CONTEXT OF THE ENTIRE STATE OF MARYLAND • CURRENT TRENDS ARE COUNTERINTUITIVE, E.G. • THE REPOPULATION OF BALTIMORE CITY • SOME PROGRESS IN BALTIMORE CITY’S COLLABORATION WITH THE SUBURBS • ITS NOT EASY BEING GREEN • STANDARDS FOR EACH OUR THEMES CONTINUE TO CHANGE • THE RECENT ECONOMIC CRISIS CALLS FOR A NEW ECONOMIC MODEL AND PARADIGM

8. Maryland 2000 Census Facts • These five largest jurisdictions account for 2/3’s of Maryland’s citizens • Montgomery and Prince George’s Counties together account for nearly 1/3 of our state’s 2000 population • Allegany County and Baltimore City were the only two jurisdictions in our state that lost population during the 1990’s.

9. Maryland 2000 Census Facts • Southern Maryland experienced the most rapid growth during the 1990’s (23.1%) but its growth just exceeded 50,000 • In contrast, the Baltimore Region grew by only 7% but that was 164,000 person increase. Suburban Washington grew by over 233,000 people or 14.3%

12. Maryland 2000 Census Age Structure Facts • Largest absolute and percentage increase in population was the 44-54 age group (233,231) or 44.7% • The 35-44 age group was next largest with a 139,150 person increase • School age population (5-19 years old) grew by 199,000 or 21%, but there are fewer kids under 5 now than in 1990 • Significant decrease in the 20-34 year olds of 200,000 or –16.3 percent during the 1990’s

15. Maryland 2000 Census Facts • Median age of Marylanders was 36.0 years old and higher than the the US median age of 35.3 years old • All Maryland “baby boomers” are older than the Maryland and US median age

17. Maryland 2000 Census Facts • All of the population growth for Maryland during the last decade was accounted for by “people of color” • Fifty-six percent of the state’s growth was an increase in the Black population (287,512 or 24.2% increase) • Latino population growth was 102,814 for an 82.2% increase

18. Maryland 2000 Census Facts • Asian population increase was 72,781 statewide for a 52.7% jump • The White population declined by nearly 2,700 statewide, but the Non-Hispanic White population declined by 40,000. This White population loss occurred in the Baltimore and Suburban Washington Regions

19. Maryland 2000 Census Facts • Blacks comprise 28% of the state’s population while Asians constitute 4.0% and the Latino population makes up 4.3% of our state’s total • The largest Asian group is Asian Indian and the largest Latino groups are “Other Latino” [primarily Central American] followed by Mexican

23. Maryland 2000 Census Family and Household Tidbits • “Nuclear Family” – Married with kids makes up only 23.3% of all households • Increase in single-parent households • Male-headed households grew faster but Female-Headed households outnumber Male-Headed households by nearly 7 to 1 • Thirty percent of all households with own kids under 18 are single-parent households, up from 12.8% in 1970

24. Maryland 2000 Census Family and Household Tidbits • Non-family households make up 31% of Maryland’s households • Almost 80% of non-family households are one-person households • The elderly constitute nearly a third of all one-person households • Maryland’s homeownership rate reached 67.7% and is higher than the US

25. Education, Income, and Poverty in Maryland, 2000 • High educational attainment state: 31.5% of Marylanders (25 years old or over) possess a Bachelor’s Degree or higher (US is 20.2%) • Maryland median household income is $52,436 (#4 in the US) vis-à-vis US median household income of $41,343

26. Education, Income, and Poverty in Maryland, 2000 • The poverty rate in Maryland and the US declined during the 1990’s • 9.3% of Marylanders lived in poverty in 2000 (12.5 percent in the US) • Fifty-nine percent of families living below the poverty line in Maryland are Female-headed households with and without kids under 18

27. Education, Income, and Poverty in Maryland, 2000 • 12.8% of poor people in Maryland were children under 18 years old • 15.6% of poor people in Maryland were children under the age of 5

28. National Data since 2000 • Real median income remained unchanged between 2003 & 2003 for all family types in the U.S. ($43,318) following 2 years of decline • Lowest income quintile declined to 3.4% and lowest 20% declined from $18,326 to $17,984 between 2002 and 2003 • Poverty in U.S. was 12% in 2003, up from 12.1% in 2002

29. National Data since 2000 • In 2003, 35.9 million people in poverty, up 1.3 million from 2002 • Poverty rate for families was 10% in 2003 and 7.6 million families, up from 9.6% and 7.2 million families in 2002 • In 2003, 45 million Americans were uninsured (health) or 15.6% of the population • 11.4% of all children are uninsured and 19.2% of children in poverty are uninsured

30. Maryland changes since 2000 • Median household income is $57,218 versus U.S. $43,564 in 2003 (Maryland now #2) • Maryland percentage in poverty 2002-2003 average is 8%, up from 2001-2002 average of 7.3% • Maryland percentage of people without health insurance 200-2003 average is 13.6%, up from 2001-2002 average of 12.8% • From Census ACS, the poverty rate and the number of individuals and families in poverty declined between 2000 and 2003

48. 2004 Maryland High School Assessment Results by Race(Percent Passing) Source: mdk12.org/data/hsa website, April 2005.

50. ... African-American spending power is expected to reach $964.6 billion by 2009, up from the current $723.1 billion in 2004 … - University of Georgia Selig Center for Economic Growth, Advertising Age, March 7, 2005.