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Epi 213 Decision and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis (DCEA). Introduction & Overview 5 Jan 2012. Today. Introductions (15 min) Course staff Students Course overview (30 min) Lecture - Decision Trees (60 min) Discussion (15 min). DCEA Staff. James G. Kahn, MD, MPH. Home
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Epi 213 Decision and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis (DCEA) Introduction & Overview 5 Jan 2012
Today • Introductions (15 min) • Course staff • Students • Course overview (30 min) • Lecture - Decision Trees (60 min) • Discussion (15 min)
James G. Kahn, MD, MPH • Home • UCSF - Institute for Health Policy Studies, Dept of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Global Health Sciences. • Mission • How can we best spend health care dollars to improve health? • Thus – projects on efficiency in intervention choice & service delivery
Cost-effectiveness of Male Circumcision for HIV Prevention in South Africa
Jose Luis Burgos, MD, MPH • Home • UCSD – Division of Global Public Health, Dept. of Medicine. • UCSD/ UABC Health Frontiers in Tijuana Project: First true Binational student run free clinic in the U.S.-Mexico Border. • Mission • How can we improve the role of economic evaluation studies in translating EB HIV/TB prevention interventions into health policy? • From Cost-Efficacy to Cost-Effectiveness
First Binational Student Run Free Clinic in the U.S. Mexico Border Region
CEA Results Mujer Segura Behavioral Intervention is Cost-Effective for HIV/STI Prevention 0% 10% 20% 60% 4 0.03 15 5.5 12 3.8 11 3.6 Cost effectiveness ($/QALY gained) HIV related costs not included * Per 100 person-years Burgos, et.al. PLoS One 2010
Conceptual framework for evidence based HIV prevention technology transfer activities Policy & Programmatic Decision Making Quantitative Policy Analysis Scientific Information Social determinants of disease Epidemiology (including disease & risk behavior pattern, and demographics) Intervention efficacy studies Prevention services research Decision Analysis Cost, cost-effectiveness, and threshold analysis Multi-attribute utility analysis Resource allocation decision across disease areas Judgments of the affordability of HIV prevention interventions Resource allocation decision across HIV prevention activities Policy Relevant Holtgrave, 2004
Next Steps: Mixed Methods approach for conducting a policy relevant cost-effectiveness analysis. Mujer Segura Implementation Project Programmatic Costs and Health Outcomes N=960 Informs Analysis Mexican Policymakers and Community Based Org. Decision-Makers Qualitative Interviews (n=40) Mujer Segura Upscale Implementation Policy Relevant Cost-Effectiveness Analysis (12 CBO’s) Informs Analysis Inform Each Other Informs Analysis Mexican Policymakers and Community Based Organizations Decision-Makers Quantitative Questionnaires (n=40)
Renee Y. Hsia, MD, MSc • Home • UCSF – Department of Emergency Medicine; San Francisco General Hospital • Mission • How do we expand access to emergency care, especially for vulnerable populations? • Thus – projects on regionalization of emergency care
DCEA students • TICR – MCR / ATCR – ~20 • Global Health Masters – ~20 • Translational Medicine – ~4 • Other (mainly clinical) - ~7
DCEA structure • Six cycles of lecture + section: • Decision trees • Valuing health: QALYs/DALYs • Adding costs: Cost-effectiveness • Data inputs • Sensitivity analyses • Markov disease-state modeling • Sections: • Review HW (10 min) • Review student projects – 10 min each - structured summary / critique / discussion • Special topics: • Excel tutorial • HIV • Behavioral economics • Other TBD – TB, ortho
DCEA student work & grading • Readings – prioritize Lecture Notes over articles • Homework / problem sets (5) • Mainly on mammography • First is open-ended, then 3 programmed (excel) • One on CEA article review • Skip cycle 4 • Value: 50 points (10 each) – late homework downgraded • Own project – DA / CEA • Design & implement simple CEA. • Start with Excel templates; ok to use other software • Each cycle, add new element (and update), feedback from mentor • By end, have complete simple DA/CEA • Typically solo; can work in pairs if add partial manuscript • Given preliminary score and chance to refine • Value: 50 points • Final exam • Optional, if needed due to problems with HW/project